There is a new ICM poll reported tonight for tomorrow’s Guardian showing a 12% Conservative lead. This is consistent with other recent polls with the exception of the Lib Dem share:
Conservative 42% (no change)
Labour 30% (no change)
Lib Dem 20% (up 2%)
ICM, unlike Ipsos MORI, tends to be pretty consistent without huge monthly variations.
UPDATE: 45% thought David Cameron would make the best Prime Minister compared to just 24% for Gordon Brown. 66% of voters think that Labour has run out of steam.
There is a new Ipsos MORI poll reported this morning showing the Conservatives down from last month but maintaining a 10% lead over Labour:
Conservative 42% (down 6%)
Labour 32% (up 4%)
Lib Dem 14% (down 3%)
The minor parties were SNP & Plaid Cymru 4%, Green 3%, BNP 2% and UKIP 1%.
MORI seems to be by far the most volatile pollster and this months’ figures for Conservatives and Labour are in line with other pollsters and could represent an adjustment from a slightly “rogue” poll last month. The Lib Dem figures are desperate but for the same reason will not be given a lot of credibility unless repeated in other polls. The Conservatives still haven’t dropped under 40% so far this year.
Undoubtedly St Patrick’s Day is the best celebrated of the four patron saints’ days of the British Isles. Not only is the day an excuse to drink copious quantities of Guinness by the Irish community in England but it is also celebrated at a fever pitch in the US, particularly amongst the Irish in New York.
It is a public holiday in northern and southern Ireland, and also in the British West Indian island territory of Montserrat.
I don’t have any Irish blood in me that I am aware of but if you are Irish by lineage or spirit then I wish you a very happy St Patrick’s Day today, 17th March.