Richard Willis's Blog

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New ICM Poll – Tories 12% ahead

icm

 

 

 

There is a new ICM poll reported tonight for tomorrow’s Guardian showing a 12% Conservative lead. This is consistent with other recent polls with the exception of the Lib Dem share:

            Conservative          42% (no change)

            Labour                       30% (no change)

            Lib Dem                    20% (up 2%)

ICM, unlike Ipsos MORI, tends to be pretty consistent without huge monthly variations.

 

UPDATE: 45% thought David Cameron would make the best Prime Minister compared to just 24% for Gordon Brown. 66% of voters think that Labour has run out of steam.

March 17, 2009 Posted by | Polls | Leave a Comment

New Ipsos MORI Poll – Tories and Lib Dems Down

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There is a new Ipsos MORI poll reported this morning showing the Conservatives down from last month but maintaining a 10% lead over Labour:

            Conservative          42% (down 6%)

            Labour                       32% (up 4%)

            Lib Dem                    14% (down 3%)

The minor parties were SNP & Plaid Cymru 4%, Green 3%, BNP 2% and UKIP 1%.

 

MORI seems to be by far the most volatile pollster and this months’ figures for Conservatives and Labour are in line with other pollsters and could represent an adjustment from a slightly “rogue” poll last month. The Lib Dem figures are desperate but for the same reason will not be given a lot of credibility unless repeated in other polls. The Conservatives still haven’t dropped under 40% so far this year.

 

UK Polling Report and Political Betting also have reports on this poll.

March 17, 2009 Posted by | Polls | Leave a Comment

Happy St Patrick’s Day

st-pats-flagUndoubtedly St Patrick’s Day is the best celebrated of the four patron saints’ days of the British Isles. Not only is the day an excuse to drink copious quantities of Guinness by the Irish community in England but it is also celebrated at a fever pitch in the US, particularly amongst the Irish in New York.

 

It is a public holiday in northern and southern Ireland, and also in the British West Indian island territory of Montserrat.

 

I don’t have any Irish blood in me that I am aware of but if you are Irish by lineage or spirit then I wish you a very happy St Patrick’s Day today, 17th March.

               happy-st-pats

March 17, 2009 Posted by | National | Leave a Comment

   

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