There is a new YouGov poll reported tonight for tomorrow’s Sun showing Labour plummeting to just 22% and a Conservative lead of 19%:
Conservative 41% (down 2%)
Labour 22% (down 5%)
Lib Dem 19% (up 1%)
This is the lowest figure recorded for either of the two major parties that I can find and would indicate a collapse in Labour’s Parliamentary representation if repeated in a General Election.
Electoral Calculus shows that these numbers would lead to a Conservative majority of 152 and the following seats:
Lib Dem 47
News reaches me that Brown protégé Ed Balls has been fighting a rear-guard action to prevent publication of the expenses he and his wife Yvette Cooper have been claiming over the last few years. Rumours have abounded for a while that the Daily Telegraph had a devastating story on the couple but I have been informed that Balls sought a High Court injunction to prevent the Telegraph publishing what it knows.
This morning the High Court rejected Balls’ pleas to cover up his expenses record and I am told that therefore there will be a very damaging story published shortly. Balls has been suggested by some to be Gordon Brown’s preferred successor and if he is damaged goods it will further reflect badly on the Prime Minister’s judgement.