Conservative 40% (down 5%)
Labour 21% (down 5%)
Lib Dem 18% (unchanged)
This time the Lib Dems are unchanged but Conservatives will be pleased to have maintained a huge 19% lead despite the Euro elections effect mentioned earlier.
There is a new BPIX poll reported tonight for tomorrow’s Mail on Sunday showing Labour plumbing new depths of just 20% in Westminster voting intentions:
Conservative 42% (down 3%)
Labour 20% (down 3%)
Lib Dem 15% (down 2%)
As Mike Smithson observes on Political Betting, it is not unusual for the big parties to lose some vote share to the smaller parties in the run up to the Euro Elections but this is truly awful for Labour. The Lib Dems are also likely to be disappointed not to have profited from recent expenses scandals.
Tonight one of the world’s biggest live TV events will take place. From 8pm tonight hundreds of millions will be glued to their TVs to watch the Eurovision Song Contest from Russia. I must admit to being a fan since I was a kid. The mix of tat, talent and tension as the votes come in is compelling.
I know that some people loathe Eurovision but it has launched the careers of ABBA, Celine Dion and Bucks Fizz and given a massive international platform to acts like Riverdance. Amongst the dross is usually a good number of great acts and this year I think the UK has a real chance of the top three after last year’s humiliation. The rule changes that bring back a national jury alongside public voting should help to reduce some of the more blatant “vote for my neighbour” that has helped the Eastern European countries recently.
I will be cheering on the UK’s Jade, singing “My Time”. Let’s hope it is her time tonight.