Political Betting has news of a new Populus poll for ITV. It shows the Conservatives unchanged and Labour up 1%. However the striking change is that the Lib Dems are down 5% from the last Populus poll:
Conservative 39% (no change)
Labour 27% (up 1%)
Lib Dem 17% (down 5%)
Of the minor parties, UKIP are on 6% and the BNP and SNP on 4% each. The Greens are on 2% and Plaid Cymru just 1%. Again the Conservatives are just under 40% but the 12% lead would be enough to give them a decent majority of 52 seats according to “Electoral Calculus”.