New ICM Poll on Euro Voting Intentions

 

 

 

Political Betting has news of a new ICM poll on voting intentions at the Euro elections on 4^th June. It shows a big fall for UKIP and the BNP, while the Conservatives, Lib Dems and Labour are up to varying degrees:

            Conservative              30% (up 4%)

            Labour                       24% (up 1%)

            Lib Dem                      18% (up 3%)

            UKIP                           10% (down 6%)

            Green                          9% (up 3%)

            SNP/Plaid Cymru           4% (up 2%)

            BNP                              1% (down 4%)

Whilst it is gratifying to see UKIP and the BNP down so much, somehow this poll doesn’t ring true. As Mike Smithson suggests in his article, turnout is likely to be very low on 4 June and this could be to Labour’s detriment as other party’s supporters will be keen to vote to show their displeasure with the Government. South East Conservative MEP (and YouTube celebrity) Dan Hannan argues the same in the Telegraph today.