Richard Willis's Blog

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New ICM Poll – Lib Dems Overtake Labour

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There is a sensational new ICM poll tonight for tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph which shows Labour falling into third place in Westminster voting intentions:

            Conservative              40% (up 1%)
            Lib Dem                      25% (up 5%) 
            Labour                       22% (down 6%)

For the Euro Elections the voting intentions are:

            Conservative              29% (down 1%)
            Lib Dem                      20% (up 2%)
            Labour                       17%  (down 7%)
            Greens                       11%  (up 2%)
            UKIP                           10% (no change)
            BNP                            5% (up 4%)

These are markedly different numbers from yesterday’s Populus poll putting UKIP in FIFTH place rather than second. Both polls cannot be right!

The Westminster voting intentions are absolutely appalling for Labour and would lead to a massive 102 seat majority for the Conservatives according to Electoral Calculus. The question now must surely be whether Gordon Brown can and will lead Labour into a General Election because the polls suggest that the party is heading for disaster and just 161 seats on these numbers.

May 30, 2009 Posted by | Polls | 8 Comments

   

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