Richard Willis's Blog

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New(ish) Ipsos Mori Poll – Conservative Lead Slashed to 6%

 

 

 

There is a newly reported poll from Ipsos Mori in tomorrow’s Observer which shows a dramatically cut Conservative lead of just 6%:

            Conservative              37% (down 6%)

            Labour                       31% (up 5%) 

            Lib Dem                      17% (down 2%)

This is a boost for Labour but there are several significant caveats. MORI has often been very erratic and found big swings from month to month, which is why I have always taken it far less seriously than YouGov or ICM. Secondly, this is now an “old” poll. Fieldwork was completed last Sunday, in the immediate aftermath of Labour’s by-election win in Glasgow and for some reason it has been held back for a week.

For those reasons I would take this poll with a big bag of salt, unless its findings are confirmed by other more reliable pollsters with more recent findings.

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November 21, 2009 - Posted by | Polls

3 Comments »

  1. This is indeed a very suspect poll.

    what ever their motives it is not going to have the desired effect.

    Comment by M C | November 22, 2009 | Reply

  2. This is a rogue poll by any definition.

    Comment by Doodlebug | November 23, 2009 | Reply

  3. Well, it cheered me up, and we had twice the number of door knockers out on Sunday afternoon than the week before. 58 rather than 28. And the weather was worse.

    Comment by Jonny Morris | November 23, 2009 | Reply


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