New(ish) Ipsos Mori Poll – Conservative Lead Slashed to 6%
There is a newly reported poll from Ipsos Mori in tomorrow’s Observer which shows a dramatically cut Conservative lead of just 6%:
Conservative 37% (down 6%)
Labour 31% (up 5%)
Lib Dem 17% (down 2%)
This is a boost for Labour but there are several significant caveats. MORI has often been very erratic and found big swings from month to month, which is why I have always taken it far less seriously than YouGov or ICM. Secondly, this is now an “old” poll. Fieldwork was completed last Sunday, in the immediate aftermath of Labour’s by-election win in Glasgow and for some reason it has been held back for a week.
For those reasons I would take this poll with a big bag of salt, unless its findings are confirmed by other more reliable pollsters with more recent findings.