New ICM Poll – Tory Lead Cut to 9%
There is a new ICM poll reported tonight for tomorrow’s Guardian which shows a further slight trimming of the Conservative lead to 9%:
Conservative 40% (no change)
Labour 31% (up 2%)
Lib Dem 18% (down 1%)
The changes shown above are compared to the most recent ICM poll. The Guardian’s graphic shows changes from its own ICM poll last month. This is consistent with most other polls in showing a slight upturn in the Labour share and the Conservatives at around 40%. However, the individual changes are again within the margin of error.
The outlier at the moment seems to be the ComRes poll which shows a 17% Conservative lead.
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About Richard…
Richard is a Conservative Councillor on Reading Borough Council representing Peppard ward since 2007, having been re-elected in May 2011. He previously represented Thames ward from 2001 to 2004. He is currently the Conservative Shadow Cabinet Member for Strategic Planning and Transport on Reading Borough Council. 
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Richard, I would expect a move from the “Others” to Labour and Conservative once the General Election is announced.
My own feeling is for a Conservative victory but with a small majority possibly like John Major’s in 1992 or at best that of Heath in 1970.