New Angus Reid Poll – Tory Lead at 12% But Greater in Marginals
There is a new Angus Reid poll published today for the Political Betting blog showing the Conservatives with a 12% lead:
Conservative 38% (down 2%)
Labour 26% (no change)
Lib Dem 19% (no change)
However, the most interesting figures are in the marginals. In the Lab/Cons marginals the figures are (change from 2005 GE):
Labour 28% (down 5%)
Conservative 42% (up 9%)
Lib Dem 15% (down 2%)
In the Lib Dem held marginals the figures are (change from 2005 GE):
Conservative 33% (up 4%)
Lib Dem 39% (down 7%)
Labour 16% (down 3%)
The marginals results are very good news for the Conservatives and suggest that the effort has been focussed most effectively where it is needed. This also means that a much smaller Conservative lead would be likely to deliver an overall majority.
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