There is a new poll from Ipsos Mori published tonight for tomorrow’s Daily Telegraph which shows a further fall in the Conservative lead to the lowest level in any recent national poll:
Conservative 37% (down 3%)
Labour 32% (no change)
Lib Dem 19% (up 3%)
As I have pointed out before MORI is very erratic, and the Lib Dem increase only partially reverses last month’s fall. I would not put a great deal of store by this poll. It is ironic that the Telegraph have chosen MORI to replace YouGov as their pollster. The Telegraph used to use Gallup who would produce equally erratic results as MORI do.
There is a new Harris poll reported today for the Metro which shows the Conservatives maintaining a healthy lead over Labour. The party ratings are:
Lib Dem 22%
This is the first poll conducted by Harris since last June which had some bizarre results. Hence I did not think it appropriate to show the changes in the party shares.
All the polls are pretty consistent at the moment with the Conservatives on around 39%, Labour around 30% and the Lib Dems around 19%.