New YouGov Poll – Tories Ahead and Lib Dems Third Placed

A new YouGov poll in tomorrow’s Sunday Times suggests a more credible return to the normal ordering of the parties but with the Lib Dems still benefitting from a boost:

            Conservative              33% (no change)

            Labour                       30% (up 2%)

                                          Lib Dem                      29% (down 1%)

This suggests that the Lib Dem boost following last Thursdays leadership debate is already beginning to fade. Perhaps the impact of the volcanic ash on the pollsters abilities is not fatal after all!

New BPIX Poll – Lib Dems Ahead?

Tonight’s polls continue with a new BPIX poll reported in the Mail on Sunday which suggests the Lib Dems have sneaked into the lead:

        Lib Dem                     32% (up 12%)

                                                                 Conservative              31% (down 7%)    

                                                                 Labour                       28% (down 3%) 

This literally the most incredible poll I have ever seen (i.e. completely lacking in credibility). The idea that any party could achieve a jump of 12% is ludicrous and the idea that the Lib Dems could actually be in the lead is equally ridiculous. I have been doorknocking all day today as well as last night and there is no indication whatsoever of such a change. In fact I have struggled to find a single voter who has stated that they are planning to vote Lib Dem. What is evident on the doorsteps is a firming of support to the Conservatives from Labour and undecideds.

I have posted this poll despite its likely rogue status but I am confident that by next weekend the Lib Dem boost will have faded and the polls will once more be reflecting the real position.

New ComRes Poll – Lib Dems In Second Place

There is a new poll from Communicate Research reported tonight for tomorrow’s Independent  on Sunday and Sunday Mirror which shows the Lib Dems receiving a significant boost, putting them ahead of Labour:

             Conservative             31% (down 4%)

                                      Lib Dem                     29% (up 8%) 

                                      Labour                       27% (down 2%)

It will be interesting to see whether the Lib Dems can maintain their higher rating into next week. Personally I doubt it.

ComRes telephoned a random sample of 1,006 GB adults on 16 and 17 April 2010. Data were weighted by past vote recall and demographically.  Full tables at http://www.comres.co.uk

New ICM Poll – Lib Dem Boost Confirmed

There is a new ICM poll in tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph which confirms a Lib Dem boost following the first of the leaders’ debates. However, unlike yesterday’s YouGov poll the Lib Dems are in third place:

            Conservative              34% (down 3%)

                                                  Labour                       29% (down 2%) 

                                                  Lib Dem                      27% (up 7%)

There will be more polls tonight and I would be surprised if at least one didn’t show the Lib Dems in second place.