New Populus Poll – Labour Up 4% at Lib Dem Expense
There is a new Populus poll in tomorrow’s Times which shows the Conservatives holding firm at 39% but Labour taking 4% off the Lib Dems:
Conservative 39% (no change)
Labour 37% (up 4%)
Lib Dem 14% (down 4%)
This poll is broadly in line with the many recent YouGov polls. Non-YouGov polls are quite rare since the election so it is useful to have the confirmation from another major pollster that YouGov are not significantly out of line with other findings.
For comparison tomorrow’s daily YouGov poll shows Cons 41%, Lab 38% and LD 12%.





Rather too close for comfort between Labour and the Tories. How long before Labour overtake?
It is not broadly in line with YouGov. They consistently have the Tories at over 40% while the other pollsters consistently have them at under 40%.
Phil – anyone with knowledge of opinion polls or statistics would not make such a silly statement! Statistically 40% is no more of a marker than any other figure.
This Populus poll has all the major parties within a few points of the YouGov polls, whereas ComRes is showing quite different shares, particularly for the Lib Dems.