New ComRes Poll – Labour’s Lead Cut to 9%
There is a new ComRes telephone poll published in tomorrow’s Independent which shows the Labour lead being trimmed to 9% with the Lib Dems also up sharply:
Conservative 33% (up 1%)
Labour 42% (no change)
Lib Dem 13% (up 4%)
UKIP 3% (down 5%)
In further findings:
The poll suggests that people are evenly divided over whether the Government’s own policies or the single currency crisis is to blame – despite repeated claims by David Cameron and George Osborne that the turmoil in the euro is having a “chilling effect” on the UK economy.
Asked whether the Government is more to blame than the eurozone crisis for the lack of economic growth in Britain, 43 per cent of people agree and 42 per cent disagree, with 14 per cent saying “don’t know.”
More than a quarter of Conservative voters (27 per cent) agree that the UK Government is more to blame, while 64 per cent disagree. Over a third of Liberal Democrat voters (36 per cent) agree, with 51 per cent disagreeing, while Labour supporters agree by a majority of Labour 58 per cent to 30 per cent.
Methodology: ComRes interviewed 1,003 GB adults by telephone 29 June – 1 July 2012. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.





After a slight dip the rise in the Labour Lead, albeit with no change to their own rating, does not surprise me. The rise in the Lib-Dem %age mostly at UKIP’s expense is a surprise however as I cannot think of anything the LDs have done recently which would boost their popularity, certainly not their advocacy of changes to the House of Lords to make it an Elected Senate, a subject most ordinary people could not give a damn about. I also cannot think of anything that UKIP or its MEPs or Nigel Farage may have said or done which would drop them for an fair 8% to a derisory 3%. It will be interesting to see if this is repeated in other Polls over the next few days.
As I have often said we could do with a Parliamentary by-election in a Tory held Constituency, preferably a Con V Lab Margin won in May 2010 to test the waters on how solid and effective Labour’s lead really is and whether that lead would crystallise into a Labour Gain, and also where the Lib-Dems and UKIP really are in the pecking order.