New YouGov Poll – Conservatives Take Support from Labour
There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Sun newspaper showing the Conservatives cutting Labour’s lead to 8%:
Conservative 33% (up 3%)
Labour 41% (down 4%)
Lib Dem 11% (no change)
UKIP 9% (no change)
This suggests that the poll earlier in the week showing Labour with a 15% lead was an outlier.
Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 4 February.
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About Richard…
Richard is a Conservative Councillor on Reading Borough Council representing Peppard ward since 2007, having been re-elected in May 2011. He previously represented Thames ward from 2001 to 2004. He is currently the Conservative Shadow Cabinet Member for Strategic Planning and Transport on Reading Borough Council. Richard stood for Parliament in Sutton and Cheam in 2005 and from 2005-2008 was Chief of Staff to Rob Wilson MP (Reading East). He has a wide range of media appearances under his belt including Newsnight, Channel 4 News and BBC Radio.
If there is anything that you would like to contact Richard about please email rik_w07@ntlworld.com. All emails will be treated in confidence.
This is his personal blog and comments and articles do not necessarily reflect the views of the Conservative Party or Reading Borough Council.
44% minus 33% is equals an 11% lead in the school I attended decades ago, Still a good lead in anyone’s book and better than the 7% lead that Labour have been holding for the last few Polls. Of course I will be a lot more interested in the Eastleigh by-election. Will the Tories play to win in this contest or do an “Old and Sad” and sabotage their candidate to, as Andrew Mitchell said at the time, “Do something to help the Lib-Dems?
Will Labour benefit by a move back of soft Liberal votes to their normal allegiance as it was a large swing from Labour to Lib-Dem that increased Huhne’s Majority in 2010 as both the Tory and Lib-Dem % increased over their 2005 shares but Labour’s fell by 11.% . Will UKIP intervention and a strong campaign on their part take sufficient votes from the Tory candidate to keep the Lib-Dems in the this seat?
This is going to be one of the most interesting by-elections for decades and I may well take the short train ride to Eastleigh to do some campaigning.
CORRECTED – Labour’s share is 41%
8% lead. Yes that is more in keeping with the current figures and does confirm your assertion that the 15% lead was indeed an outlier. It will still be a very interesting by-election in Eastleigh and it will be useful to compare the shares and movements of votes therein with real electors casting actual votes..