New Ipsos MORI Poll – Labour Surge as Lib Dems Drop
A new Ipsos MORI poll has been published tonight for Reuters showing Labour surging to close the gap to just 2% behind the Conservatives:
Conservative 40% (up 1%)
Labour 38% (up 7%)
Lib Dem 14% (down 5%)
The Lib Dem drop is consistent with that shown by YouGov but it should be noted that MORI has a history of big swings which are sometimes reversed when the next poll is published.
Satisfaction with Clegg, Cameron and the government have decreased since last month although are still positive. Net satisfaction with Nick Clegg (the percentage satisfied minus the percentage dissatisfied) stands at +13, from +26 in June. For David Cameron, it has dropped from +31 to +23, and net satisfaction for the government is at +3, from +10 in June.
Nick Clegg’s net satisfaction amongst Liberal Democrat supporters has dropped 26 points, from +64 in June to +38, whilst Cameron’s ratings among Conservative supporters have improved by seven percentage points, from +81 to +88.
MORI’s Economic Optimism Index returns to positive territory, at +3%, from -5 in June. There is still uncertainty about Britain’s economic prospects for the next 12 months. Over a third (37%) think that the economic condition of the country will improve over the next 12 months, but a similar percentage (34%) think that it will get worse.
The public are also split on whether the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services – around half (45%) agree, and the same percentage disagree. However, this is better than any score the Labour government got since the end of 2001.
Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,009 adults aged 18+ across Great Britain. Interviews were conducted by telephone 23-25 July 2010. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
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