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New ComRes Poll – Labour Lead Halved to 4%

There is a new ComRes poll published tonight for tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday which shows the Labour lead being halved to 4% over the Conservatives:

              Conservative             36% (up 2%)

                                        Labour                      40% (down 2%)

                                        Lib Dem                    10% (down 2%)

However, the underlying results are less good for Ed Miliband and Labour:

A Labour government under Ed Miliband would be better at protecting people’s jobs:
Agree: 30%
Disagree: 38%
Don’t know: 32%
Only 13% of Lib Dem voters agree.
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour party: 
                          Now                  Dec
Agree:               22%                  17%
Disagree:            35%                  32%
Don’t know:        43%                  50%

Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats: 
                         Now                  Dec
Agree:               28%                  26%
Disagree:            49%                  49%
Don’t know:        23%                  25%
David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister: 
                         Now                  Dec
Agree:               38%                  38%
Disagree:            43%                  41%
Don’t know:        19%                  21%

The poll also included questions about the upcoming referendum on changing the voting system to AV:

ComRes asked the official question drafted by the Electoral Commission:  At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons.  Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead?

Yes               36%
No                30%
Don’t know    34%

(Answers were weighted by likelihood to vote.)

A further question suggests that the Yes vote could increase: I could be persuaded to support changing the voting system in the forthcoming referendum in May when I have heard more about the arguments for and against

Agree:              61%
Disagree:         18%
Don’t know:      21%

Among people who don’t know how they would vote in the referendum question above, 60% agree that they could be persuaded to vote ‘yes’ and only 7% disagree. If we add these potential supporters of AV to those who already do agree, the Yes vote climbs to 58%, assuming the No vote remains at 27%, and don’t knows decline to 15%.

ComRes interviewed 2,006 GB adults online 12-13 January 2011.


January 15, 2011 - Posted by | Polls

1 Comment »

  1. What a detailed post – I suppose composing it took your mind away from OES for a while.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | January 17, 2011 | Reply

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