New ComRes Poll – Labour Lead Halved to 4%
Conservative 36% (up 2%)
Labour 40% (down 2%)
Lib Dem 10% (down 2%)
However, the underlying results are less good for Ed Miliband and Labour:
A Labour government under Ed Miliband would be better at protecting people’s jobs:
Don’t know: 32%
Only 13% of Lib Dem voters agree.
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour party:
Agree: 22% 17%
Disagree: 35% 32%
Don’t know: 43% 50%
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats:
Agree: 28% 26%
Disagree: 49% 49%
Don’t know: 23% 25%
David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister:
Agree: 38% 38%
Disagree: 43% 41%
Don’t know: 19% 21%
The poll also included questions about the upcoming referendum on changing the voting system to AV:
ComRes asked the official question drafted by the Electoral Commission: At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead?
Don’t know 34%
(Answers were weighted by likelihood to vote.)
A further question suggests that the Yes vote could increase: I could be persuaded to support changing the voting system in the forthcoming referendum in May when I have heard more about the arguments for and against
Don’t know: 21%
Among people who don’t know how they would vote in the referendum question above, 60% agree that they could be persuaded to vote ‘yes’ and only 7% disagree. If we add these potential supporters of AV to those who already do agree, the Yes vote climbs to 58%, assuming the No vote remains at 27%, and don’t knows decline to 15%.
ComRes interviewed 2,006 GB adults online 12-13 January 2011.