Richard Willis's Blog

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New ComRes Poll – Labour Take 9% Lead

There is a new ComRes poll published tonight for tomorrow’s Independent which shows the Labour increasing their lead over the Conservatives to 9%:

              Conservative             34% (down 2%)

                                        Labour                      43% (up 3%)

                                        Lib Dem                    10% (no change)

ComRes telephoned 1,002 GB adults on 28-30 January 2011.

Interestingly I read an article today on Political Betting which cites the Labour supporting head of YouGov, Peter Kellner, arguing that Labour should be doing much better than they are in most polls.

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January 31, 2011 - Posted by | Polls

4 Comments »

  1. You become more selective by the day. Kneller argues that Labour should be doing better than 5%. They are – It is now 9%. I think you should be concerning yourself on how the desperately low Tory figure of 34% (and falling)can be improved. Any ideas?

    Comment by Phil the Greek | February 1, 2011 | Reply

  2. Phil- you become more inconsistent and ridiculous by the day! Kellner argues that Labour should be “miles ahead”, enjoying double digit leads in YouGov polls when in fact their average lead is about 5%. Even the ComRes 9% is neither “miles ahead” or double digits.

    Kellner (not Kneller!) is a well known Labour supporter and the President and one of the founders of YouGov. Which rather illustrates how daft is your argument that YouGov are deliberately manipulating their findings in favour of the Conservatives in order to please one of their clients (The Sun newspaper).

    Kellner is in fact well respected in polling circles and has helped YouGov build a reputation which is second to none in political polling.

    You can twist and distort the facts all you like but it doesn’t change the fact that Conservatives are holding up well in the polls and Labour are failing to open up a significant lead despite almost everything being in the opposition’s favour at present.

    I suggest you focus on helping your Labour chums to come up with a credible economic policy that might command public support.

    Comment by Richard Willis | February 1, 2011 | Reply

  3. My spelling might not be up to much but I do know that 43 minus 35 is not 10. I don’t care what political persuasion Kellner is but I do know that YouGov has been consistently out of line with the other pollsters since the election. Kellner also states in his article that “It is possible to argue that Miliband and, especially, Balls, cannot expect much better figures so early in their new posts” which you conveniently failed to mention. Labour has every right to feel pleased that they have a reasonable lead without having done much. They know that the coalition will continue to self destruct and with more bad news to come I look forward to the gap widening considerably throughout this year.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | February 1, 2011 | Reply

    • Phil – happy to give you credit for a more rational and factually based comment! Of course I don’t repeat every comment made but I do link to the full article so that people can read it and make up their own minds.

      Comment by Richard Willis | February 1, 2011 | Reply


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