Richard Willis's Blog

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New Ipsos MORI Poll – Tories and Labour on 40% Each

There is a new Ipsos MORI/Reuters poll reported today showing a further jump in the Conservative share to a surprising 40% and level pegging with Labour who only two months ago enjoyed a 10% lead:

            Conservative              40% (up 3%)

                                                        Labour                       40% (down 1%)

                                                        Lib Dem                      9% (down 1%)

MORI tend to be more volatile than most other pollsters but this is a remarkable position for the Conservatives to be in and even if this poll is something of an outlier it is not dissimilar to the recent ICM poll showing Labour just 2% ahead.

Since Labour is usually well ahead of the Conservatives in Scotland and Wales, it suggests that they may be in for a disappointing night at the English local elections next month.

Ipsos MORI interviewed 1,000 adults aged 18+ between 15 and 17 April.

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April 20, 2011 - Posted by | Polls

7 Comments »

  1. I don’t think they are going to win any Conservative seats in Reading, but I’m not convinced they think they will anyway. Be interesting to see what happens in the three Liberal Democrat wards.

    Comment by Lawrence | April 20, 2011 | Reply

  2. I agree Labour don’t have back enough public trust to start taking seats off the Tories but I expect LD town centre wards will be under threat and the Tories may take Tilehurst from the LDs.

    Comment by Doodlebug | April 20, 2011 | Reply

  3. Not sure where to post this so I’ll try here. You quite clearly are not a pedestrian so have not experienced watching OAPs/Mums with prams struggle with your idea of traffic-speeding measures by removing lights at crossings i.e. Jacksons Corner. There will be deaths soon which won’t look very good on your political CV. It won’t really wash explaining they were too old to spot that car rushing towards them. But at least it will mean one less Tory counciller !

    Comment by Jordan Ash | April 21, 2011 | Reply

    • Jordan – of course I am a pedestrian! That is the only sensible way to get about in the town centre for the able bodied. I have also regularly walked Jacksons Corner and stood and observed the fact that before and after the lights were switched off pedestrians rarely used the crossing points to cross the road. The Council also has to conduct a full safety audit before changes like this area made and this clearly demonstrated that most pedestrians were not using the crossings or waiting for the lights to turn red to cross.

      With the town centre changes implemented this week the junction has become even quieter, which is one reason why this switch off was experimental and will be finally assessed only now that we can see the impact of the changes. Safety is the first duty of a Highway Authority and suggesting “deaths soon” is just scaremongering. There are another set of lights with crossings about 100 yards up the road at Butter Market which can be used to cross north/south if a pedestrian has any difficulties.

      This junction was nominated for removal of the lights by the public last year and I have received very few comments since the siwtch off with as many being positive as have had any concerns.

      Comment by Richard Willis | April 21, 2011 | Reply

      • Interesting to note that anyone who finds it frightening to cross at Jacksons Corner (ie the old and Mums with prams) is told to walk to the top of the street and cross there, then presumably walk all the way down the street to the other side of Jacksons Corner to continue their journey. That makes nonsense of your claim to be a pedestrian.

        Comment by Jordan Ash | April 21, 2011

      • Jordan – I am surprised that you think you know my movements so well! You are also obviously not familiar with the Jacksons Corner area or you would know that the other crossing is not “all the way down the street”, it is within about 100 yards of the Jackson Corner junction. A very short distance.

        Be careful you are starting to sound awfully like someone who styled themselves “Phil the Greek” 🙂

        Comment by Richard Willis | April 21, 2011

  4. Don’t bring back the lights at Jackson’s Corner, it is much better without them. I would, however, bring back the pedestrian lights at the train station as crossing that road is an absolute nightmare which is made worse by the fact that taxis are constantly performing U-turns opposite the Heathrow Express buses.

    Comment by Darren | April 25, 2011 | Reply


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