New Ipsos MORI Poll – Labour Take the Lead but Fail to Convince
Conservative 35% (down 5%)
Labour 42% (up 2%)
Lib Dem 10% (up 1%)
As I have observed before MORI tend to be more volatile than most other pollsters and the changes in this poll rather confirm my opinion.
Only one in three people (31%) agree that Labour is ready to form a government and even fewer believe Ed Miliband is ready to be Prime Minister (17%). Indeed, more than half of Labour supporters believe Miliband is not ready to be Prime Minister. In 1997, a month away from the General Election, over half of the public (55%) believed Labour was ready for government and a similar proportion (53%) believed Tony Blair was ready to be Prime Minister. A month before the 2010 General Election, half the public (51%) felt David Cameron was ready to be Prime Minister and 47% thought the Conservatives were ready to govern. This devastating finding for Labour has been picked up by Political Betting.com where the author Mike Smithson has observed that Miliband is less popular than William Hague or IDS at this stage of their leadership!
David Cameron remains the most highly rated party leader (44% of the public are satisfied with his performance), but around the same number are dissatisfied (47%). However, just three in ten (29%) people are satisfied with Nick Clegg’s performance as Deputy Prime Minister – and twice as many (61%) are dissatisfied. For the first time, satisfaction with Nick Clegg is lower than with the government. Satisfaction with Ed Miliband has fallen this month; a third are satisfied with Miliband (35%) but 43% are dissatisfied.
Last month I also made the following comment:
“Since Labour is usually well ahead of the Conservatives in Scotland and Wales, it suggests that they may be in for a disappointing night at the English local elections next month.” How true that was!
Ipsos MORI interviewed 1,008 adults aged 18+ between 20 and 28 May.