Richard Willis's Blog

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New ICM Poll – Labour Lead Just 2%

There is a new ICM poll in tomorrow’s Guardian showing the Conservatives and Labour continuing to be very close in ratings:

            Conservative              37% (up 1%)

                                                  Labour                       39% (up 2%) 

                                                  Lib Dem                      12% (down 3%)

Cameron remains more popular than either his party or the coalition, but only just and he is now in negative territory for the first time. While 42% say he is doing a good job, 47% say bad, a negative of -5. In March, his score was +5 and in June 2010 it was +23.

Miliband’s net negative is -21, down eight points since March. His rating is one point worse than Clegg’s and 16 points worse than Cameron’s. The Labour leader seems notably unpopular among older voters and men. His popularity ratings now resemble those of Iain Duncan Smith, whose net negative rating in ICM polls averaged around -20 when he was leader of the opposition. His rating is notably worse than those of either William Hague or Michael Howard as opposition leaders.

Miliband Minor seems to be a drag on Labour’s poll ratings as they struggle to open up a decent lead over the Conservatives.

ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,000 adults aged 18 and above by telephone on 17-19 June 2011.


June 20, 2011 - Posted by | Polls


  1. Just like IDS I reckon he will get the push by the end of this calendar year if not sooner

    Comment by steve foley | June 20, 2011 | Reply

    • I do hope not!

      Comment by Richard Willis | June 20, 2011 | Reply

  2. Who would they replace him with?

    Comment by Dave Warren | June 21, 2011 | Reply

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