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New ComRes Poll – Labour Loses Lead

There is a new ComRes online poll published in tomorow’s Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror which shows the Conservatives catching Labour at the start of the Conference season:

              Conservative             38% (no change)

                                        Labour                      38% (down 2%)

                                        Lib Dem                    11% (no change)

Changes shown are compared to the last ComRes telephone poll published on 21 August.

In other findings:

David Cameron is turning out to be a good prime minister
 
                               Dec      Jan       Apr      May      June     July      August  September
Agree:                    38%      38%      37%       39%       37%      33%       34%         33%
Disagree:                 41%      43%      46%       43%        44%      45%      48%         46%
Don’t know:             21%      19%      17%       18%        19%       22%      18%        21%
Net                           -3         -5           -9           -4           -7          -12        -14         -13

Older people are more likely than younger people to think that David Cameron is turning out to be a good prime minister – 42% of people aged 65 and over agree compared to 22% of people between the age of 18-24.
 
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party:
 
                                 Dec      Jan       Apr      May      June     July      August  September
Agree:                       17%      22%      24%      22%      18%      27%       24%       20%
Disagree:                    32%      35%      38%     39%      45%       41%       44%       44%
Don’t know:               50%      43%      37%     39%      37%       32%       32%       36%
Net                             -15        -13       -14        -17        -27       -14        -20         -24 
 
Half of men (51%) disagree that Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader compared to 38% of women.
 
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats:
 
                               Dec      Jan       Apr      May      June     July      August   September
Agree:                     26%      28%      24%      21%      20%       22%        22%        20%
Disagree:                 49%      49%      55%      56%      57%        53%         55%        53%
Don’t know:             25%      23%      21%       24%      23%       25%        23%        27%
Net                          -23        -21        -31        -35        -37         -31          -33           -33

One in five (21%) Liberal Democrat supporters think that Nick Clegg is not turning out to be a good leader.

I don’t really know what David Cameron stands for:
 
Agree               42%
Disagree           45%
Don’t know       12%
 
I don’t really know what Ed Miliband stands for: 
  
Agree               57%
Disagree           28%
Don’t know       14% 
 
A third of Labour voters (33%) agree that they don’t know what Ed Miliband stands for.
 
I don’t really know what Nick Clegg stands for: 
 
Agree              61%
Disagree          26 %
Don’t know      13% 
 
A third of Liberal Democrat voters (34%) agree that they don’t know what Nick Clegg stands for.
 
The Liberal Democrats have done a good job of moderating Conservative policies in the Coalition:
 
Agree               23%
Disagree           47%
Don’t know       31% 
 
66% of Lib Dem voters agree, compared to 33% of Conservatives and 11% of Labour
 
The Coalition Government’s policies share the burden of hard times fairly so that we are ‘all in it together’:
 
Agree               27%
Disagree           52%
Don’t know       21% 
 
There is a trend by age – just 17% of 18-24 year olds agree, compared to 42% of people aged 65 or over.
 
Being in coalition with the Conservatives has shown the Liberal Democrats to be a credible party of government:
 
Agree               24%
Disagree           52%
Don’t know       24% 
 
Just a third (35%) of people who voted Liberal Democrat in 2010 agree that being in the Coalition has shown the Liberal Democrats to be a credible party of Government.
 
I expect the Liberal Democrats to do much worse at the next General Election than they did at the last one:
 
Agree               68%
Disagree           11%
Don’t know       21%
 
·         53% of Liberal Democrat supporters agree
·         Men (74%) are more likely to agree with this than women (62%).
·         There is also a social trend – 74% of people from social group AB agree, compared to 63% of group DE
 
I would have voted differently at the election if I had known that the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives would enter into a coalition:
 
Agree               22%
Disagree           56%
Don’t know       22% 
 
46% of people who voted Lib Dem at the last election agree
 
The Coalition Government is right to try to reduce the number of MPs in Westminster from 650 to 600:
 
Agree              56%
Disagree           13%
Don’t know       31% 
 
77% of Conservative voters agree, compared to 67% of Liberal Democrats and 41% of Labour.

ComRes surveyed 2,000 GB adults online on 14-16 September 2011.Data were weighted to be demographically representative and by past vote recall.

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September 17, 2011 - Posted by | Polls

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