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New ComRes Poll – Labour 4% Ahead

There is a new ComRes online poll published in today’s Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror which shows the Conservatives holding at just 4% behind Labour:

              Conservative             36% (up 1%)

                                        Labour                      40% (up 1%)

                                        Lib Dem                    10% (down 1%)

Changes shown are compared to the last ComRes telephone poll published on 2o November.

Q: Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
 
David Cameron is turning out to be a good prime minister
 
                               Dec       Jan       Apr      May      June     July     August  September     October   December
Agree:                     38%      38%      37%      39%     37%      33%      34%           33%               34%          27%
Disagree:                 41%      43%      46%    43%      44%     45%       48%           46%               47%          52%
Don’t know:             21%      19%      17%     18%     19%      22%      18%           21%               19%          20%
 
 
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Opposition (Note: in previous waves this has been phrased as ‘leader of the Labour Party’)
 
                                 Dec      Jan       Apr      May      June     July      August  September   October  December
Agree:                       17%      22%      24%     22%     18%      27%         24%         20%                22%           20%
Disagree:                   32%      35%      38%    39%      45%     41%         44%         44%                50%           52%
Don’t know:               50%      43%      37%    39%      37%      32%         32%         36%               28%            28%
 
·         Fewer than half of Labour voters (44%)  think Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the opposition, compared to just 13% of Lib Dem voters and 7% of Conservative voters.
 
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good Deputy Prime Minister (Note: in previous waves this has been phrased as ‘leader of the Liberal Democrats’)
 
                               Dec      Jan       Apr      May      June     July      August   September    October   December
Agree:                      26%      28%      24%    21%     20%      22%         22%           20%              24%            18%
Disagree:                 49%      49%      55%    56%      57%     53%         55%           53%              55%             61%
Don’t know:             25%      23%      21%     24%     23%      25%         23%           27%              21%             21%
 
David Cameron has shown strong leadership in his dealings with France and Germany during the Euro crisis
 
Agree: 31%
Disagree: 41%
Don’t know: 28%
 
·         Approximately two thirds of Conservative voters (64%) agree that David Cameron has shown strong leadership, compared to two in five Lib Dem voters (39%) and one in six Labour voters (16%).
 
If EU leaders agree a new treaty to tackle the Euro crisis Britain should hold a referendum on it
 
Agree: 58%
Disagree: 15%
Don’t know: 26%
 
·         Two thirds of Conservative voters agree (68%), compared to half of Labour (50%) and Lib Dem voters (47%).
 
·         There is a trend by age, with older people more likely than younger people to agree – 70% of people aged 65 and over agree, compared to 44% of people aged 18-24.

The Euro crisis provides an ideal opportunity for Britain to leave the EU altogether
 
Agree: 52%
Disagree: 26%
Don’t know: 22%
 
·         Conservative voters (58%) are more likely than Labour (45%) or Lib Dem voters (48%) to agree.
 
I expect that the 2012 Olympics will be worth the expense in the end
 
Agree: 28% (July 2009: 54%)
Disagree: 54% (42%)
Don’t know: 17%

ComRes surveyed 2,048 GB adults online on 7-8 December 2011. Data were weighted to be demographically representative and by past vote recall.

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December 11, 2011 - Posted by | Polls

2 Comments »

  1. Interesting to note the age observation on the treaty question. Also older people are much more likely to vote than those aged 18-24

    Comment by Howard Thomas | December 11, 2011 | Reply

  2. Summing up, Cameron hasn’t lived up to expectations, Miliband is in a death spiral and Clegg faces residual anger. Cameron played to his right wing during the negotiations as the right agitate, but this has weakened his postion as his attempts to placate them feeds their ambition.

    I think the question for the coalition is how far Cameron calculates he wants to bolster Labour by opening up divisions between him and his deputy to keep his party onside. The final PMQs of the year suggests he’s got the upper hand on the opposition leader, so he may want to enjoy Milibands weakness, at least until the next election starts looming closer.

    Comment by Oranjepan | December 17, 2011 | Reply


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