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New ICM Poll – Tories Surge to a 5% Lead in a Second Major Poll

There is a new ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow showing the Conservatives surging to a lead of 5% over Labour:

         Conservative              40% (up 3%)

                                                  Labour                       35% (down 1%)

                                                  Lib Dem                      16% (up 1%)

This confirms yesterday’s YouGov poll which also had the Conservatives 5% ahead of Labour. With the last two YouGov polls showing 3% and 5% leads respectively and now ICM (the pollster of choice for many who follow opinion polls) showing a 5% lead it is reasonable to conclude that this is a realistic reflection of public opinion at this time. For Labour to be substantially behind the Coalition Government at this time is a damning indictment of Ed Miliband and the senior Labour leadership.

ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1003 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 20-22 January 2012.

UPDATE: Tonight there is also a Populus poll for tomorrow’s Times which finds: Cons 37 (+2), Lab 38 (-1), 13 (+1)


January 23, 2012 - Posted by | Polls

1 Comment »

  1. Things may be trending that way now for the Tories but why? Is it the ineptness of Labour’s Leader and the honest but unwelcome words of Balls? I can’t think of much the Cobservatives have done recently that isn popular and Cameron’s Veto against the Merkosy and the Eu must have run out of steam by now with Joe Public.

    The Liberal Share of 16 % is worrying. BTW any breakdown of “Others”?

    Comment by Steve Foley | January 23, 2012 | Reply

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