Richard Willis's Blog

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New ComRes Poll – Labour Surges to a Lead of 10%

There is a new ComRes telephone poll published in tomorrow’s Independent which shows Labour moving into a commanding 10% lead over the Conservatives:

           Conservative            33% (down 4%)

                                        Labour                      43% (up 3%)

                                        Lib Dem                    11% (up 1%)

In the 337 interviews conducted on Saturday, before the cash-for-access revelations emerged, Labour enjoyed a lead of only four points. Labour was on 39 per cent, the Tories 35 per cent and the Lib Dems 11 per cent. But in the 350 interviews that took place on Sunday and Monday (today) after the discloures, Labour was 17 points ahead. Labour was on 47 per cent, the Tories on 30 per cent and the Lib Dems 11 per cent.

George Osborne’s decision to freeze personal tax allowances for pensioners is opposed by a margin of  almost 2-1.  Some 59 percent disagree with the statement that “the Government is right to freeze the personal tax allowances of pensioners to bring them into line with those for everyone else”, while 31 per cent agree and 10 per cent don’t know.

As with all major changes in poll leads or ratings, caution should be exercised until more than a single poll demonstrates a similar shift. Changes shown are compared to the last ComRes poll I covered on 17 March.

ComRes surveyed 1,000 GB adults by telephone on 23-26 March 2012. Data were weighted to be demographically representative and by past vote recall.


March 26, 2012 - Posted by | Polls

1 Comment »

  1. This one does look a bit high but would with other polls in the last few days show thet the Labour Lead is trending. The Bradford West by-election will be of great interest this week to see if this is coming through to a real voting situation and of course there are the Locals and the London Mayoral elections on May 3rd

    Comment by Steve Foley | March 27, 2012 | Reply

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