Richard Willis's Blog

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New YouGov Poll – UKIP Overtakes Lib Dems

There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Sun newspaper showing the Labour lead jumping to 11% but more sensationally UKIP have overtaken the Lib Dems:

                   Conservative               32% (down 4%)

                   Labour                         43% (up 3%)

                   Lib Dem                         8% (down 1%)

                   UKIP                              9% (up 3%)

Labour’s lead is pretty big but all the focus will be on the UKIP result. As usual with any striking result some caution should be exercised to see whether this is a one-off or a new consistent polling position.

The poll also suggests that Conservatives are losing support among the over 60’s to UKIP. However, let’s see what the polls over the next couple of days show before draawing too many conclusions as I suspect this poll to be an “outlier”!

Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I covered on 10 April.


April 17, 2012 - Posted by | Polls


  1. Obviously I am pleased that UKIP are trending upwards in the Polls and are above the Lib-Dems and hope that this will sustain and crystalise on May 3rd. I am only one year short of 60 but can confirm from those of my age group, the “Baby Boomers” I speak to that there is a definite shift in that section of the electorate from Conservative to UKIP, for many reasons, myself being an example.

    As UKIP are only fielding one candidate, in Tilehurst, on May 3rd there will not be any sensations here save perhaps that UKIP intervention could cost the Tory candidate the possibilty of repeating 2011s capture of that ward from the Lib-Dems. As for others who would have voted UKIP had there been a candidate in their ward will they remain with the Conservatives even if disillusioned with that party, abstain, or vote for some other party to punish Cameron, Osborne and co?

    Comment by Steve Foley | April 17, 2012 | Reply

  2. I think you will find that voters of all ages will continue to desert both coalition parties for alternatives on May 3rd and beyond in all parts of the country.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | April 17, 2012 | Reply

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