Richard Willis's Blog

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New YouGov Poll – Lib Dems at Lowest Ever on Just 7%

There is a new YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Sun newspaper which shows Labour’s lead increasing to 10% but with the Lib Dems dropping to their equal lowest rating ever, level with UKIP once again:

                   Conservative               34% (down 1%)

                   Labour                         44% (up 2%)

                                                     Lib Dem                        7% (down 1%)

                                                     UKIP                              7% (no change)

Labour seem to be benefitting mainly from the Lib Dem collapse. Conservatives are down but the key driver of Labour’s lead at present is the uniting of non-Conservative support behind Labour. For years we heard of the death of the two-party system but at present the two-party system appears to be reasserting itself.

Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 30 April.

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May 10, 2012 - Posted by | Polls

3 Comments »

  1. Much as I would have expected in the wake of Labour’s better than expected gains in May 3rd Local Elections. Milliband has now shown that Labour CAN gain seats under his leadership although he is still somewhat insipid in his approach.. The incompetance of the present government also helps to boost Labour, e.g. the debacle over the fighters for the two carriiers now building where Labour had it right after all, and which has wasted £100m and engendered delays in this programme.

    The 1922 Committee needs to force Cameron to have a reshuffle of the Tory members of the Cabinet and get rid of the dead wood such as Lansley, Hammond, Letwin, Warsi, and bring on new blood and to drop unnecessary and contentious ideas such as same-sex “marriage”. There have been too many own goals.

    So far the Conservatives have been lucky in that all the Parlaimentary by-elections, save Belfast West where mainland politics do not apply, have been in relatively safe Labour seats. It is only a matter of time before a by-election occurs in a Conservative Constituency and the loss thereof could both boost Labour’s standing as an alternative Government and cause a chain reaction as happened to Labour in the late 1960s and again from the mid-1970s , and to the Conservatives when in Office especially during the Major Government.

    Comment by Steve Foley | May 11, 2012 | Reply

  2. Its kind of strange that when millions of people voted LD and then they achieve a share of government those same millions appear to be very unhappy with the resulting influence.. Perhaps the reality of the consequences of voting LD as some sort of a protest vote has hit them when they realise that LD stand for all the things they most detest !

    Comment by Howard Thomas | May 12, 2012 | Reply

    • Howard. I’m not at all surprised. In the days before May 2010, Liberals then Lib Dems could promise the earth safe in the knowledge that they would NEVER be the Government and thus would not be called upon to deliver. They could sit back and blame the Electoral System of FPTP. BY selling their souls for a mess of pottage by going into coalition with Cameron they lost that protection. Peoplel who supported them in Local Elections have now felt betrayed as their party went along with Tory policies, amany of which they had fought tooth and nail against at the GeneralEelection.

      There is also the joy of being in Opposition .I can well well remember since 1969 when I first got involved in Politics the joy of winning seats in Parliamentary By-elections and Local Councils against the other lot, e.g. Labour. “Safe” Constituencies and Councils fell. I can even remember Glasgow being under Conservative Control from 1968 to 1971! Of course no sooner were he Tories in office than the pendulum swung the other way and Tory Constituencies in by-elections and Local Councils went Labour. To many political activists, especially Liberal./Lib-Dems this was a golden age, make gains against whichever of the 2 main parties were in Government and win some Boroughs and Districts, and the ocasional Parliamentary seat. Alas for them they are now in Government and their triumph has turned to ashes in their mouths. Many politcal activists love Opposition and the subsequent gains and Opinion Poll leads etc that soon come their way but secretly dread their party winnng a General Election and the subsequnet swing against them with lost Local Council Wards etc..

      Comment by Steve Foley | May 12, 2012 | Reply


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