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New YouGov Poll – Labour Lead Cut to 8% – With Boris it Would be Closer!

There is a new YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Sunday Times newspaper which shows Labour’s lead being cut to 8% with the Lib Dems and UKIP neck and neck:

                   Conservative               34% (no change)

                   Labour                         42% (down 2%)

                                                     Lib Dem                         8% (down 2%)

                                                     UKIP                               8% (up 2%)

There is a lot of hints that the poll shows that if Boris were Conservative leader the gap would be 2% less. When I have more info I will update.

Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 6 Aug.


August 11, 2012 - Posted by | Polls |


  1. Bobbing up and down again between 10% and 8%. Roll on the Corby By-election when at last we can have a REAL test of whether Labour can win a parliamentary seat from the Tories for the first time in years, and if they can’t capture this marginal at this time they ought to chuck it! It will also give a good indication of how well UKIP are really doing vis a vis the Lib-Dems.

    Comment by Steve Foley | August 11, 2012 | Reply

  2. I’ve thought for some time that Boris will be PM one day. I reckon that will be 2017.

    Comment by Howard Thomas | August 12, 2012 | Reply

  3. By 2017 Boris is far more likely to be in a lunatic asylum that 10 Downing street.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | August 13, 2012 | Reply

    • What an unpleasant comment! It says more about the writer than the subject of the comment.

      Comment by Richard Willis | August 13, 2012 | Reply

  4. Wait and see Phil……………………. only a fool would under estimate the man. He has a gift for being liked by the public !

    Comment by Howard Thomas | August 13, 2012 | Reply

  5. Boris could become Conservative Leader of the Opposition by 2017 but with some difficulties. As it stands he will still be Mayor of London in 2015, assuming the General Election is not held earlier if the Coalition breaks apart. If Cameron loses this General Election, as I feel that he will then he and Cameronism will be discredited and as has now become the practice will, like Howard, Hague and Major before him, resign as Party Leader. Now Boris would still be Mayor and I cannot see him resigning that position before its time. Assuming he did not seek re-election as Mayor in 2016 he would still need a Parliamentary Seat. That would mean some Tory MP with a safe seat standing down, possibly getting a peerage as a reward, to cause a by-election but Boris would not be a cert to be nominated. Assuming he was this could still backfire as happened to Labour in Leyton in January 1965 when they ennobled the long serving MP to enable Patrick Gordon Walker to get back into parliament having lost his seat in Smethwick in the Oct 1964 General Election. In the event the Conservatives gained the seat by a couple of hundred votes so this can be a dangerous gambit.

    I felt this May as the result of the London Mayoral Election came in late on the Friday night giving a narrow hold by Boris, a great sigh of relief went up from David Cameron as his most credible rival for the Leadership of the Conservative Party was effectively cadged for another 4 years and past the scheduled date for the next General Election in Spring 2015.

    Comment by Steve Foley | August 19, 2012 | Reply

  6. This might interest you Richard, given you liking for Opinion Polls and as it shows Labour’s lead down to 7%

    Latest Survation Poll

    Conservatives 30 (+1)

    Labour 37 (nc)

    UKIP 12 (+1)

    Lib Dems 10 (-3)

    It will be of interest to see if this is replicated in other Opinion Polls and how it compares to what happens in the Corby By-election when it eventually is called..

    Comment by Steve Foley | August 26, 2012 | Reply

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