New YouGov Poll – Labour Lead Cut to Just 6%
There is a new YouGov poll for today’s Sunday Times newspaper which shows Labour’s lead slashed to just 6%:
Conservative 35% (up 1%)
Labour 41% (down 1%)
Lib Dem 9% (up 1%)
UKIP 7% (down%)
This is the smallest Labour lead shown in a YouGov poll for some time but it is in line with the “gold standard” ICM poll last weekend. YouGov have been showing Labour leads in the 8-11% range for some time and it will be interesting to see whether this is an outlier or a start of a series of shrunken Labour leads.
With a Cabinet reshuffle imminent and the Party Conferences about to start a shift in the political landscape is a possibility over the next few weeks. After the worst six months for the Coalition government Ed Miliband and Labour would have hoped to have been consolidating or growing their lead not seeing it shrink. Labour need to rethink their current tactics of opposing everything but standing for nothing.
The Lib Dems also will not be happy with their vote share, marooned on 7-9%. They face the loss of the majority of their existing MPs if they cannot improve their share during the run up to the General Election. Despite the hype around their closeness to the Lib Dems in vote share UKIP have no prospect of gaining any MPs unless they are able to concentrate some support in one or two constituencies.
Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 11 Aug.