Richard Willis's Blog

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New YouGov Poll – Labour Just 5% Ahead at the Start of their Conference

There is a new YouGov poll for today’s Sunday Times newspaper which shows Labour’s down again to 5%, the lowest in a YouGov poll for some time:

                   Conservative               35% (no change)

                   Labour                         40% (down 1%)

                                                     Lib Dem                        10% (up 1%)

                                                     UKIP                               7% (no change)

As I will keep reminding readers, Party Conference season is a time when polls can show unusual fluctuations and I would not take any poll too seriously until all the major parties have completed their conferences. However, this is a poor poll for Labour at the start of their conference!

Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 21 Sep.


September 30, 2012 - Posted by | Polls |

1 Comment »

  1. I am interested to see the Lib-Dems only gain 1% as a post Conference boost, unless of course the other Polls give them a higher figure.

    As for Labour I feel that Ed Miliband’s continued ineptitude and some of his recent utterances will cost him dearly and I do NOT expect their Conference to be of much help in the Polls to Labour to be honest. As for the Tory Junket in Brum the following week, well stage managed and choreographed as it is – almost to North Korean standards – will of course give the desired impression of a party at one with itself and in admiration of its Beloved Leader and Great Helmsman Cameron when of course beneath the surface nothing could be further from the truth. No doubt there will be a post Conference Cameron Bounce putting his party neck and neck with Labour or even slightly ahead of them for the first time in ages.

    The REAL test will of course come in the two outstanding by-elections, Corby, whenever they call it, and now Croydon North. The first is a text book Lab-Con Marginal in the Midlands which Labour and Ed Miliband NEED to win. Croydon North is the opposite, a once marginal seat which the recently deceased MP Malcolm Wicks, RIP, had made safe on paper. Indeed there was a small swing TO Labour in that seat in May 2010 when in other places especially in the South that party was being well beaten.

    I won’t be going to Corby, I don’t drive and it is too far away, but there is no reason for me NOT to go to Croydon North as I can take the train and I campaigned in Feltham last year.

    I look forward to the outcome of these two by-elections with great interest.

    Comment by Steve Foley | September 30, 2012 | Reply

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