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New ComRes Poll – Swing from Labour to Lib Dem Cuts Lead to 3%

There is a new ComRes telephone poll published in tomorrow’s Independent which shows the Labour lead down from 7% last month to just 3% now:

           Conservative            35% (no change)

                                        Labour                      38% (down 4%)

                                        Lib Dem                    15% (up 3%)

                                        UKIP                            4%

The Labour lead of 3% is within the margin of error and is a blow to Labour gathered at their conference. They have seen their lead in this monthly poll fall from 11% to 7% to just 3% now. The usual note of caution should be applied that during conference season polls can fluctuate and it may be that Labour are suffering from a boost to the Lib Dems who enjoyed additional publicity from their conference last week.

In further findings:

Only two out of 10 people believe that Ed Miliband has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, while almost twice as many think that David Cameron has. Labour also trails the Conservatives on economic trust. Asked whether they trust Mr Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy, 30 per cent agree and 62 per cent disagree. Meanwhile, 24 per cent say they trust Mr Miliband and Ed Balls, while 64 per cent do not.

Asked whether Mr Miliband has what it takes to be a good prime minister, 22 per cent agree and 63 per cent disagree. For Mr Cameron, the figures are 39 per cent and 52 per cent respectively.

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 1,010 GB adults by telephone 28-30 September 2012. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at


October 1, 2012 - Posted by | Polls

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