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New ComRes Poll – Labour’s Lead Increases to 8%

There is a new ComRes online poll published in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday which shows the Labour lead growing to 8%, back to where it was before conference season:

           Conservative            33% (down 2%)

                                        Labour                      41% (up 2%)

                                        Lib Dem                    10% (no change)

                                        UKIP                            9% (up 1%)

In further findings:

Of those who voted Conservative in the 2010 general election, 10% now say that they would vote UKIP.

Ed Miliband’s leadership approval rating has improved – now 29% say that he is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party, the highest since we began asking this in December 2010.

In light of his conference speech, a greater proportion say they see Labour as more of a “one nation” party (33%); than say the same of the Conservatives (25%).

Most people (63%) do not expect the economy to return to good health for at least five years.

Leadership

David Cameron is turning out to be a good prime minister:
Agree 29% (+2 since August 2012)
Disagree 50% (-4)
Net Agree -21 (+6)

Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party:
Agree 29% (+4 since August 2012)
Disagree 40% (-5)
Net Agree -11 (+9)

Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats:
Agree 18% (-2 since August 2012)
Disagree 56% (+1)
Net Agree -38 (-3)

The fact that David Cameron went to Eton makes it harder for him to be a good Prime Minister for the whole country:
Agree 38% (+4 since July)
Disagree 42% (-2)

Those in social grades DE are the most likely social grades to agree (44%). Only 13% of Conservative voters agree.

The fact that Ed Miliband went to a comprehensive school means that he is more likely to be in touch with the concerns of most people:
Agree  37%
Disagree  45%

Even 13% of Conservative voters agree.

The Economy

I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy:
Agree 26% (+1 since August 2012)
Disagree 51% (-3)
Net Agree -25 (+4)

I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy:
Agree 24% (+4 since August 2012)
Disagree 49% (-3)
Net Agree -25 (+7)

I expect the economy will start showing signs of improvement soon:
Agree 30% (+7 since November 2011)
Disagree 48% (-7)

I do not expect the economy to return to good health for at least five years:
Agree 63%
Disagree 17%

Women (66%) are more pessimistic than men (59%) about the future of the economy. Half (52%) of Conservative voters do not expect the economy to return to good health for at least five years, as do 71% of Labour voters and 61% of Liberal Democrat voters.

I plan to spend less on Christmas this year than last year:
Agree 55% (-6 since November 2011)
Disagree 26% (no change)

Women are more likely than men to agree (58% vs. 52% respectively). Those aged 35-54 are the most likely age group to agree (61%).

It is more important to keep young people in work than it is to reduce government borrowing:
Agree  56%
Disagree  19%

Of Conservative voters, 36% agree, compared with 77% of Labour voters, and 62% of Liberal Democrat voters.

A Labour government under Ed Miliband would be better at protecting people’s jobs:
Agree 31% (no change since July 2012)
Disagree 41% (-1)

24% of Labour voters say they ‘don’t know’.

In most cases I have sympathy for people going on strike against public spending cuts:
Agree 46% (-2 since November 2011)
Disagree 38% (no change)

“One Nation”

Labour is more of a “one nation” party than the Conservatives:
Agree  33%
Disagree  36%
Don’t know  30%

The Conservatives are more of a “one nation” party than Labour:
Agree  25%
Disagree  45%
Don’t know  31%

(The statement is reversed because “disagree” includes people who think there is no difference.)

Europe

The UK has nothing to fear from leaving the European Union:
Agree  43%
Disagree  29 %
Don’t know  29%

Half (52%) of Conservative voters agree, but a quarter (25%) of them disagree. Labour voters are evenly divided: 34% agree, 35% disagree.

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 2,010 GB adults online 17 – 18 October 2012. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.

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October 20, 2012 - Posted by | Polls

1 Comment »

  1. Not surprised at that. Labour’s lead will bob around until the Corby by-election which they really NEED to win far more than Cameron needs to hold it. My interest will be in the size of the swing to Labour and if UKIP take a larger number of votes than the Labour majority.

    I DO however wonder if Ed Miliband’s poor performance at the anti-cuts rally, where he was booed by what ought to have been a sympathetic audience, will adversely affect Labour’s lead. One thing is certainl if Labour DON’T win Corby then Ed the Unready is toast.

    Comment by Steve Foley | October 20, 2012 | Reply


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