New YouGov Poll – Labour Now Just 4% Ahead
There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Sun newspaper with Labour’s lead falling to just 4% after a week of Labour leads which varied from 7-12%:
Conservative 35% (no change)
Labour 39% (down 3%)
Lib Dem 10% (up 1%)
UKIP 8% (up 1%)
This poll may be an outlier but it underlines the fragility of Labour’s lead in a week when we will see elections for Police and Crime Commissioner and several Parliamentary by-elections. At the mid-point of this Parliament I had expected to see Labour consistently well ahead as the Government takes the difficult decisions necessary to clear up the mess it inherited. Whilst Labour should win all the by-elections this week it will not be a very good indicator of what might happen at a General Election in 2015.
Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 4 November.