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New ComRes Poll – UKIP Jumps to 14%

There is a new ComRes online poll published in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday which shows the Labour lead trimmed to 11%. However, the big story is the jump in UKIP’s share:

           Conservative            28% (down 3%)

                                        Labour                      39% (down 4%)

                                        Lib Dem                      9% (down 1%)

                                        UKIP                          14% (up 6%)

In further findings:

Leadership ratings

David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister

Agree 27% (-2 since October) Disagree 52% (+2) Net agree -25

Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party

Agree 24% (-5) Disagree 43% (+3) Net agree -19

Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats

Agree 14% (-4) Disagree 62% (+6) Net agree -48

The economy

I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy

Agree 25% (-1 since October) Disagree 55% (+4) Net agree -30

I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy

Agree 21% (-3) Disagree 52% (+3) Net agree -31

Most respondents were gloomy about their economic prospects: 57% expecting “my family to be worse off over the coming year”. But one measure in the Autumn Statement was well received. We asked if people agreed or disagreed with the following:

The Chancellor, George Osborne, is right to cut most state benefits by 1% a year for the next three years, in real terms (taking inflation into account)

Agree 42% Disagree 36% Don’t know 22%

Other polls with differently worded questions have produced sharply different findings on this subject. YouGov found that 52% thought benefits should rise by less than inflation or not at all. Ipsos MORI found that 59% said benefits should rise with inflation.

We also asked if people agreed or disagreed with the following statements about the economy:

The Government should increase spending on public services Agree 47% Disagree 25% Don’t know 28%

The Government should cut public spending to reduce the deficit Agree 32% Disagree 40% Don’t know 28%

These statements suggest that public support for balancing the budget is weakening, with nearly half of respondents wanting public spending to be raised. Although 16% of respondents in the survey agreed with both “the Government should increase spending on public services” and “the Government should cut public spending to reduce the deficit”.

However, more people blame the euro crisis for our economic difficulties than the Government’s policy of deep cuts in public spending:

The recovery is taking longer than expected mainly because the Government is cutting spending too deeply

Agree 45% Disagree 28% Don’t know 27%

The recovery is taking longer than expected mainly because of the problems in the eurozone

Agree 55% Disagree 19% Don’t know 26%

I expect my family to be worse off over the coming year

Agree 57% Disagree 23% Don’t know 20%

I plan to spend less on Christmas this year than last year

Agree 54% (-7 since November 2011) Disagree 34% (+8)

I expect the economy will start showing signs of improvement soon

Agree 25% (-5 since October) Disagree 52% (+4)

Gay marriage

David Cameron is showing leadership by pressing ahead with a law to allow gay marriage even though some people in his own party oppose it

Agree 34% Disagree 44% Don’t know 22%

Among current Conservative voters, 46% agree but 31% disagree. Among 2010 Conservative voters, only 36% agree while 46% disagree. The most notable opposition is among UKIP voters – 19% think David Cameron is showing leadership on this issue but 74% disagree.

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 2,002 GB adults online 12 – 14 December 2012. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.

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December 15, 2012 - Posted by | Polls

1 Comment »

  1. Delighted to see the Lib-Dems pushed into 4th place by UKIP who’s 14% share is closer to the feedback one receives from the street. Long may they maintain or even increase that share.

    I was also pleased to see more disapproval than approval for Cameron over Same-Sex “Marriage”, especially amongst those who voted Conservative in 2010. I fall into that category as this issue, plus their savage and to me brutal Welfare/ Benefits policies have swung me away from the Tories, though whether I vote UKIP with my heart, or Labour with my head and in the hope of evicting the Tory MP from Reading West remains to be seen.

    Finally I am also pleased that to many people the Economy and reducing the deficit etc is NOT the be all and end all and I would feel that those who voted in that way in this poll place Human Values “Quality of Life” issues above dry Economic “Quality of Life” matters as is my stance on that question.

    Comment by Steve Foley | December 16, 2012 | Reply


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