New(ish) ICM Poll – 51% Could Vote to Leave the EU
While I was away for Christmas there was a new ICM poll in the Guardian yesterday showing Labour’s lead holding at 8%:
Conservative 32% (no change)
Labour 40% (no change)
Lib Dem 13% (no change)
UKIP 7% (no change)
The poll finds a marked swing of sentiment against the EU over the last 12 months which is also reflected in UKIP’s higher level of support. 36% say they would definitely vote to pull Britain out, against just 22% who definitely want to stay in. That compares with 18% who say they would probably want to stay in, and 15% who indicate that they would probably want to get out.
I remind readers that ICM is the “Gold Standard” of opinion pollsters amongst polling aficionados.
ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,002 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 19-23 December 2012. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.