New ComRes Poll – Labour Lead Down to 7%
Conservative 32% (up 1%)
Labour 39% (down 2%)
Lib Dem 10% (no change)
UKIP 10% (up 1%)
NB: The weekend ComRes poll was an online poll. This one is a telephone poll. There tends to be a slight difference in findings between the two methodologies. However, this poll confirms the narrowing of Labour’s lead found in other recent polls.
In further findings:
Some 30 per cent of the public say they are now more likely to back the Conservatives following David Cameron’s EU referendum pledge, while 57 per cent disagree. One in six Labour supporters (16 per cent) and almost four in 10 supporters of the UK Independence Party (Ukip) are more likely to vote Tory. But not all Conservatives are impressed by last week’s announcement: 28 per cent of current Tory supporters and 35 per cent of people who voted Tory at the last general election say they are not more likely to back the party after the referendum promise.
The poll suggests Ed Miliband might reap an electoral benefit if he matched Mr Cameron’s pledge. Some 27 per cent of voters say they would be more likely to vote Labour if the party promised a Europe referendum, while 59 per cent disagree. But a smaller proportion (22 per cent) would be more likely to vote Liberal Democrat if the party offered a referendum, with 64 per cent disagreeing.
The public appear to share Labour and Lib Dem fears that Mr Cameron’s decision to delay a referendum until 2017 could harm the economy by creating uncertainty for companies and investors. Some 49 per cent of the public agree with this statement, while 32 per cent disagree.
Methodology: ComRes interviewed 1,002 GB adults by telephone from 25 – 27 January 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.