Richard Willis's Blog

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New YouGov Poll – Labour Lead at 9%

There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Sunday Times newspaper showing an essentially unchanged position with the Labour lead still in single figures:

                   Conservative               32% (down 1%)

                   Labour                         41% (no change)

                                                     Lib Dem                       11% (no change)

                                                     UKIP                               9% (no change)

We seem to have settled into a pretty consistent position with Labour being about 8-10% ahead and the Lib Dems narrowly ahead of UKIP.

There is also a Survation telephone poll in the Mail today of Eastleigh voting intentions but the sample is just 500 and it has a margin of error of around 4%, more than the alleged Lib Dem lead. All we can say at this stage is that the Lib Dems and Conservatives are neck and neck. The real position will only become clearer once the campaign gets underway.

Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 8 February.


February 10, 2013 - Posted by | Polls |


  1. Just what I expected. My prediction at this stage. Lib-Dem hold very narrowly and possible recount as UKIP will take sufficient votes from the Conservatives to stop them winning back Eastleigh. UKIP do NOT significantly impact Labour.

    Comment by steve foley | February 10, 2013 | Reply

  2. The latest ICM poll in The Guardian gives Labour a 12 point lead (41%-29%) and this was taken after Dave’s “triumph” in Europe.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | February 11, 2013 | Reply

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