New ComRes Poll – UKIP Jump to 17%
Conservative 28% (down 3%)
Labour 37% (up 1%)
Lib Dem 9% (up 1%)
UKIP 17% (up 3%)
In further findings:
With the Budget coming up next week, the level of trust in David Cameron and George Osborne on the economy has hit a record low:
I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy Agree 23% (-6 since last year) Disagree 56% (+7)
But Cameron and Osborne still remain just ahead of the Opposition:
I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy Agree 20% (+5 since last year) Disagree 55% (-4)
A majority agree that austerity is failing:
The Chancellor George Osborne’s current economic plan is not working Agree 56% Disagree 19%
One in four (26%) Conservative voters agree as do 67% of UKIP voters.
The Chancellor George Osborne’s current economic plan is right for the country in the long term Agree: 24% Disagree: 48%
More Lib Dem voters disagree (39%) than agree (28%).
And more oppose a rise in beer duty than support it:
The Chancellor George Osborne should not increase tax on beer in the Budget next week Agree: 42% Disagree: 36%
After a week of speculation about Tory plots against David Cameron’s leadership, the balance of public opinion is against a change of leadership, although there are many don’t knows:
The Conservative Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if it replaced David Cameron as leader
Agree 28% Disagree 38% Don’t know 34%
While 15% current Conservative voters agree, almost half (48%) of UKIP voters agree (24% disagree). This suggests that a change of leader would attract some of the support lost to UKIP although doubtless current Conservative voters’ support could be put in jeopardy by doing so.
Boris Johnson, the Mayor of London, would make a good prime minister
Agree 33% Disagree 42% Don’t know 25%
More Londoners disagree (43%) than agree (36%).
More UKIP voters agree (45%) than disagree (35%) suggesting some support could be won back from UKIP with Boris Johnson as Conservative leader.
Theresa May, the Home Secretary, would make a good prime minister
Agree 19% Disagree 45% Don’t know 36%
Women (18%) are no more likely to agree than men (19%).
Assets and liabilities
ComRes also sought to assess whether leaders were assets or liabilities to their parties by asking whether people had a favourable or unfavourable view of each of the four leading parties and their leaders:
David Cameron 26%
Conservative Party 23%
Ed Miliband 19%
Labour Party 28%
Nick Clegg 13%
Liberal Democrats 16%
Nigel Farage 24%
Methodology: ComRes interviewed 2,015 GB adults online 13 – 14 March 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.