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New ComRes Poll – Lib Dems and UKIP Rise

There is a new ComRes telephone poll published in tomorrow’s Independent which shows both Conservatives and Labour down, and UKIP and Lib Dems up, compared to last month:

             Conservative            28% (down 3%)

                                          Labour                      38% (down 5%)

                                          Lib Dem                    12% (up 4%)

                                          UKIP                         14% (up 5%)

In further findings:

The post-Budget survey suggests that Labour has made little progress in winning the economic argument in the past year. Some 29 per cent of people trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy, while 58 per cent do not – a net rating of minus 29 points. Meanwhile, only 22 per cent trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right economic decisions, while 62 per cent do not – a net rating of minus 40 points, no better than the party’s score in previous ComRes polls in January and October last year.

The public is still more likely to blame today’s economic problems on the previous Labour Government than the Coalition.  Asked whether the Coalition is more to blame, 54 per cent disagree and 32 per cent agree.  Three out of 10 (31 per cent) of Labour supporters disagree that the Coalition is more to blame.

However, the Government’s attempt to pin responsibility on Labour may be proving less successful as time passes.  In January last year, 26 per cent agreed that the Coalition is more to blame and 62 per cent disagreed.

Asked whether Mr Osborne is turning out to be a good Chancellor, 51 per cent of people disagree  and only 24 per cent agree. One in four Conservative voters (26 per cent) and seven in 10 Ukip supporters (71 per cent) do not regard him as a good Chancellor.

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 1,003 GB adults by telephone 22 – 24 March 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.

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March 25, 2013 - Posted by | Polls

3 Comments »

  1. UKIP Third at 2% above Lib-Dems is how I would read this Poll.

    I would also concur that that the longer it is from a General Election where there has been a change of Governing Party the less affective it is to blame it on the defeated party. The response from many people is now “You lot have been in power for 3 years now, Osborne has not got it right, It’s YOUR fault!”

    I will be moving to France soon and my interest in UK politics will then be academic although I will still watch the results come in on the TV on Election Night via my PC. I won’t register for a Proxy Vote as my belief has always been that if you no longer live in a country or pay taxes to it then you should not vote in its Elections.

    As to UKIP, it is a pity for them that the Euro Elections are not till the Spring of 2014 and this May it is the County Elections. UKIP do not do well in Local Elections although they did win a seat in a London Borough last Thursday. I expect they will pick up some County Seats in May but not a large number. Likewise unless they peak too soon or go off the boil, or are riven by internal squabbles, an inherent problem for most small parties, I would expect them to pick up at the very least one and possibly a handful of Seats in the 2015 General Election. UKIP’s significance may be in the “Intervention Effect” when they take sufficient votes off the Tory MP in a marginal to lose them the seat to Labour, given that there is likely to be an anti Tory swing, or as in Eastleigh to save the seat for the Liberal where the Tory would have had a chance to win it. UKIP cost the Conservatives about 20 or so seats in both 2005 and 2010. I would imagine they will have a similar if not larger effect in 2015.

    Comment by Steve Foley | March 26, 2013 | Reply

  2. David Cameron should be a very worried man. This UKIP figure is becoming consistant,

    Comment by Howard Thomas | March 31, 2013 | Reply

    • Very true Howard. If things go according to plan I will be watching the results of the next General Election from another land.

      Comment by Steve Foley | March 31, 2013 | Reply


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