New YouGov Poll – The Gap Closes to Just 5%
There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Sunday Times newspaper showing Labour’s lead falling to just 5%:
Conservative 33% (no change)
Labour 38% (down 1%)
Lib Dem 11% (up 1%)
UKIP 11% (down 2%)
Yesterday’s 6% lead was the lowest with YouGov for some time but today’s 5% lead is the lowest since at least November last year. Considering that George Osborne has just revealed £11.5bn cuts to future expenditure plans and Labour has recently committed to match Conservative spending plans, it is amazing that the Opposition can only garner a lead of 5% at this stage of the Parliament.
In the detail of the poll is the finding that the Conservatives lead Labour by 37% to 31% amongst the 18-24 age group. This is becoming a reasonably consistent finding in recent polls and is supported by our experience locally which has seen a considerable number of new younger members joining the party.
It is also noteworthy that the recent UKIP slide and slight Lib Dem improvement now sees them on even terms at 11% each.
Changes shown are compared to the last YouGov poll I reported on 28 June.