Three New Polls Show Labour’s Lead at 5% or Less
Three new opinion polls have been published in the last 24 hours all showing the same picture with each of the three main parties within 2% in each poll:
Populus Poll – 5 August
Cons 33% / Lab 38% / LD 12% / UKIP 9% – Labour Lead 5%
YouGov Poll – 6 August
Cons 34% / Lab 38% / LD 11% / UKIP 12% – Labour Lead 4%
ComRes Poll – 6 August
Cons 34% / Lab 37% / LD 10% / UKIP 12% – Labour Lead 3%
It has been unusual recently to have such consistency across different pollsters. We are beginning to see a consistent pattern of Labour down a couple of points, Conservatives up 3-4% and UKIP falling back from their highs of around 20% following the last local elections. Last month we had an ICM poll showing the Conservatives and Labour both on 36%. It cannot be long before we see other pollsters giving similar results.
It is no wonder that dissent is breaking out again within the Labour Party with senior figures criticising Ed Miliband’s poor leadership and complacency.
The next election is now less than 2 years away and it is looking like it will be a close run campaign, rather than the walkover that some Labour MPs seemed to be expecting last year and earlier this year!