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New ComRes Poll – Conservatives Slash Labour’s Lead to 3%

There is a new ComRes online poll published tonight for tomorrow’s Independent which shows Labour’s lead being slashed by 5% to just 3%:

           Conservative            32% (up 4%)

                                        Labour                      35% (down 1%)

                                        Lib Dem                       9% (down 1%)

                                        UKIP                          16% (down 1%)

This poll is consistent with most other post-conference polls in showing a marked narrowing of Labour’s lead.

In further findings:

Of those who say they voted Liberal Democrat in 2010, 36% say that they would now vote for the Labour Party, while, 18% of 2010 Conservative voters say they would now vote for UKIP, compared with just 5% of 2010 Labour voters who say the same.

In a forced choice between Labour and the Conservatives, Labour leads as the party most trusted to …

Make your family better off: Labour lead 7 points

Get the cost of living down: Labour lead 9 points

Keep prices down generally: Labour lead 11 points

Protect people’s jobs: Labour lead 16 points

Keep gas and electricity prices down: Labour lead 20 points

The Conservatives lead as the party most trusted to …

Keep the economy growing: Conservative lead 14 points

Negotiate on Britain’s behalf with the rest of the EU: Conservative lead 15 points

Be tough on people abusing the benefits system: Conservative lead 39 points

Influence of leaders’ names on policy

Ed Miliband’s proposed price freeze becomes less popular when it has his name attached to it. The number agreeing with this proposal declines from 71% to 65% when his name is added to the proposal. However, it remains more popular than not with voters of every party.

Cameron’s proposals are also popular with the British public, but there appears to be little effect to their popularity when his name is added to them. Four in five British people (80%) agree with David Cameron that the Government should require gas and electricity companies to put all customers on the cheapest tariff. This is very similar to the proportion who support the proposal when it has no politician’s name attributed to it (79%).

Help to Buy is less popular, but still widely supported. Just less than half of the population agree that the Government should guarantee mortgages to make it easier for some people to buy a home (49% with Cameron’s name, 46% without). Roughly three in ten disagree with it (27% with Cameron’s name, 30% without).

Battle over the Cost of Living

If they were Prime Minister, who would you trust most to… /If they were in government, which party would you trust most to…

Make your family better off

Leader Party
David Cameron 26% Conservatives 25%
Ed Miliband 30% Labour 32%
Don’t know 44% Don’t know 43%
Lead Lab: 4 Lead Lab: 7

This is one of the areas where Ed Miliband appears to be the largest drag on the Opposition ticket (along with protecting people’s jobs).

Get the cost of living down

Leader Party
David Cameron 24% Conservatives 26%
Ed Miliband 34% Labour 35%
Don’t know 42% Don’t know 39%
Lead Lab: 10 Lead Lab: 9

Keep prices down generally

Leader Party
David Cameron 22 Conservatives 23
Ed Miliband 33 Labour 34
Don’t know 45 Don’t know 43
Lead Lab: 11 Lead Lab: 11

Protect people’s jobs

Leader Party
David Cameron 23 Conservatives 23
Ed Miliband 36 Labour 39
Don’t know 41 Don’t know 37
Lead Lab: 13 Lead Lab: 16

Keep gas and electricity prices down

Leader Party
David Cameron 17% Conservatives 17%
Ed Miliband 38% Labour 37%
Don’t know 44% Don’t know 46%
Lead Lab: 21 Lead Lab: 20

Keep the economy growing

Leader Party
David Cameron 38% Conservatives 40%
Ed Miliband 24% Labour 26%
Don’t know 39% Don’t know 34%
Lead Con: 14 Lead Con: 14

Policies

Energy price freeze

Agree Disagree Don’t know
As Ed Miliband has suggested, the Government should freeze gas and electricity prices while the market is reviewed 65% 16% 18%
The Government should freeze gas and electricity prices while the market is reviewed 71% 14% 15%

Cheapest energy tariff legislation

Agree Disagree Don’t know
As David Cameron has suggested, the Government should require gas and electricity companies to put all customers on the cheapest tariff 80% 8% 12%
The Government should require gas and electricity companies to put all customers on the cheapest tariff 79% 9% 12%

“Help To Buy”

Agree Disagree Don’t know
As David Cameron has suggested, the Government should guarantee mortgages to make it easier for some people to buy a home 49% 27% 24%
The Government should guarantee mortgages to make it easier for some people to buy a home 46% 30% 24%

Competence

Be tough on people abusing the benefits system

Leader Party
David Cameron 53 Conservatives 55
Ed Miliband 14 Labour 16
Don’t know 34 Don’t know 29
Lead Con: 39 Lead Con: 39

Negotiate on Britain’s behalf with the rest of the EU

Leader Party
David Cameron 38 Conservatives 39
Ed Miliband 22 Labour 24
Don’t know 40 Don’t know 37
Lead Con: 16 Lead Con: 15

Energy Taxes

It is worth paying an extra £2 in every £100 on gas and electricity bills to pay for greener energy

Agree 34% Disagree 45% Don’t know 20%

Of the three main parties, Lib Dem voters are most likely to agree (47%).

It is worth paying an extra £7 in every £100 on gas and electricity bills to help the poor and elderly with their bills

Agree 26% Disagree 46% Don’t know 28%

Free schools

Parents, teachers and charities should be encouraged to set up new state schools, even if there are already schools in the local area

Agree 27% Disagree 36% Don’t know 37%

Those who consider themselves Conservative are most likely (38%) to agree; while only a quarter of those who consider themselves Labour (25%) agree.

Gay equality

There is little that the Government can do to stop school children using the word “gay” as an insult

Agree 70% Disagree 15% Don’t know 15%

Men are more pessimistic (74% agree) than women (67%).

There will probably be an openly gay prime minister in the next 20 years Agree 28% Disagree 27% Don’t know 45%

Younger people aged 18-34 are more likely to agree, 33%, compared with 23% of those aged 65+. Women are more likely to agree, 32%, than men, 24%.

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 2,001 GB adults online 16 – 18 October 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.

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October 19, 2013 - Posted by | Polls

1 Comment »

  1. This whole business about energy prices seems to more about political point scoring than actually doing something about it. Prices go up every year by amounts way more than the rate of inflation and what is proposed by the major parties will do little or nothing to alter that. Putting people on ‘the lowest tariff’ clearly makes no difference as the lowest tariff will be set by the companies at a level that suits them. On the other hand freezing prices for 20 months will simply lead to bigger rises before and after that period.
    The way to supply the cheapest energy could be to bite the bullet and re-nationalise the industry. At least we wouldn’t have the blatent profiteering by foreign companies with tax avoidance by them as a second issue. I have no idea what this would cost but I bet it would be far more popular and productive than blowing £40 or 50 billion on a rail scheme that nobody can justify!
    I also note the cap in hand business of George Osbourne in China this week. What the hell is going on when our chancellor seems to be going round the world with a begging bowl hoping that we can get the Chinese to finance and run our future power generation built apparantly to French design. Have we now arrived at the point where we can do nothing for ourselves!
    Talking of being robbed by foreign companies think Thames Water which was purchased by Kemble Water a few years ago and saddled with much of the cost of the aquisition. Basically the customers are buying the company but will never own it. Robbed, robbed and robbed again, thats the lot of the ordinary British consumer!

    Comment by Howard Thomas | October 19, 2013 | Reply


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