Richard Willis's Blog

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New ICM Poll – Labour Lead Doubles to 8%

There is a new ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow showing Labour doubling their lead over the Conservatives to 8%:

         Conservative              30% (down 4%)

                                                    Labour                        38% (no change)

                                                    Lib Dem                      13% (up 1%)

                                                    UKIP                             10% (up 2%)

This month’s poll suggests a continuing gender gap in British politics. Among men, Labour and the Conservatives are tied on 32% each, but among women Labour enjoys a large lead – 45% versus 26%. The Conservatives continue to do far better with older voters – favoured by 40% of the over-65s – than the young, scoring just 21% among those aged 18 to 24.

Readers are reminded that ICM is considered the “gold standard” amongst pollsters and I have therefore always given a lot more weight to their findings alongside YouGov.

ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,004 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 8-10 November 2013. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.




November 11, 2013 - Posted by | Polls | ,


  1. It does not matter how you dress things up. Ed is bouncing Cameron all over the House of Commons, the Tories are having to dance to the tune of Labour’s policies and the noises from his backbenches are distracting the PM and pushing him ever more to the right.

    Comment by David King | November 12, 2013 | Reply

  2. Heart-warming. And why do you think it is that Labour enjoys such a large lead amongst women voters?

    Comment by Phil the Greek | November 12, 2013 | Reply

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