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New ComRes Poll – Labour Still Not Trusted

There is a new ComRes online poll published tonight for tomorrow’s Independent which shows the Conservatives falling back and Labour’s lead increasing to 6%:

           Conservative            29% (down 3%)

                                        Labour                      35% (no change)

                                        Lib Dem                     10% (up 1%)

                                        UKIP                          17% (up 1%)

This poll is consistent with recent polls in showing an increase to Labour’s lead. However, David Cameron and George Osborne (27%) remain more trusted than the Labour pair to make the right decisions about the economy, with their lead on net trust on the economy increasing from 6 points to 11 points since September 2013.

Although a quarter of British adults (24%) say their opinion of Ed Miliband has got more positive recently, a slightly higher proportion say their opinion of him has got more negative (29%). More than half of the British public (53%) say they cannot imagine Miliband as Prime Minister, compared to just 25% who say they can. A quarter of people (24%) say that Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party, up two points from August. However, 45% disagree, including one in five Labour voters (18%).

In further findings:

Q: Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

 

Agree

Disagree

Don’t know

As far as I know, it is quite easy to switch gas or electricity supplier

70%

17%

13%

Sir John Major was right to say it is “shocking” that positions of power are held “overwhelmingly by the privately educated”

69%

12%

19%

More nuclear power stations should be built in Britain in the next five years

45%

27%

29%

The Government’s Help to Buy scheme to guarantee mortgages will make houses more expensive for most people

44%

16%

41%

I expect the UK economy will improve next year

44%

34%

22%

I have switched my gas or electricity supplier in the past month

13%

83%

5%

  • A majority of all parties’ voters agree with John Major’s comments regarding positions of power being dominated by the privately educated, including four fifths of Labour voters (81%) and three quarters of UKIP (74%) and Liberal Democrat voters (75%). Conservative voters are the least likely to agree (58%), and, of voters for all the major parties, the most likely to disagree (20%) too.
  • Although more voters agree than disagree from all major parties, there is a sharp gender divide in attitudes towards nuclear power. A large majority of males (63%) agree that more nuclear power stations should be built in Britain in the next five years, but women are actually more likely to disagree (35%) than agree (27%) with this idea. People aged 65 and over (61%) are nearly twice as likely as people age 18-24 (31%) to support building more nuclear power stations.
  • Nearly half (44%) of British adults say that the initiative to guarantee mortgages will make houses more expensive for most people, with even Conservative voters more likely to say that this will be the case (37%) than say that it will not (22%).
  • Labour voters are more likely to expect the UK economy not to improve next year (43%) than to expect it to improve (33%). This may suggest some Labour support is currently based on economic pessism – how this might change if the economy does pick up remains to be seen. A majority of Conservative and Liberal Democrat voters (73% and 58%) think that the economy will improve next year, while UKIP voters are divided in their expectations (39% think it will improve, 38% do not).

Economic trust

I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy

Aug 2011

Nov 2011

Mar 2012

Apr 2012

May 2012

Jul 2012

Sep 2012

Oct 2012

Dec 2012

Feb 2013

Mar 2013

Jun 2013

Sep 2013

Nov 2013

Agree

18%

21%

15%

19%

22%

20%

20%

24%

21%

20%

20%

20%

23%

19%

Disagree

54%

50%

59%

52%

51%

52%

52%

49%

52%

55%

55%

56%

50%

57%

Don’t know

28%

28%

26%

30%

27%

28%

28%

28%

27%

25%

25%

25%

27%

25%

NET

-36

-29

-44

-33

-29

-32

-32

-25

-31

-35

-35

-36

-27

-38

I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy

Aug 2011

Nov 2011

Mar 2012

Apr 2012

May 2012

Jul 2012

Sep 2012

Oct 2012

Dec 2012

Feb 2013

Mar 2013

Jun 2013

Sep 2013

Nov 2013

Agree

31%

30%

29%

25%

26%

24%

25%

26%

25%

27%

23%

25%

28%

27%

Disagree

48%

45%

49%

54%

55%

55%

54%

51%

55%

51%

56%

56%

49%

54%

Don’t know

21%

20%

22%

21%

19%

21%

22%

23%

20%

22%

22%

19%

23%

18%

NET

-17

-15

-20

-29

-29

-31

-29

-25

-30

-24

-33

-31

-21

-27

  • Ed Miliband and Ed Balls fall to their worst net trust rating (-38) on the economy since March 2012, with just one in five British people (19%) saying that they trust the Labour pair to make the right decisions on the economy.
  • Fewer than half of 2010 Labour voters (48%) now trust Miliband and Balls on the economy – down from 58% in September.

Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party

Dec 2010

Jan 2011

Apr 2011

May 2011

Jun 2011

Jul 2012

Aug 2012

Oct

2012

Dec 2012

May 2013

Aug 2013

Nov 2013

Agree

17%

22%

24%

22%

18%

25%

25%

29%

24%

31%

22%

24%

Disagree

32%

35%

38%

39%

45%

42%

45%

40%

43%

42%

50%

45%

Don’t know

50%

43%

37%

39%

37%

33%

30%

31%

33%

27%

28%

31%

NET

-15

-13

-14

-17

-27

-17

-20

-11

-19

-11

-28

-21

 

 

Agree

Disagree

Don’t know

My opinion of Ed Miliband has become more negative recently

29%

47%

24%

I can imagine Ed Miliband as Prime Minister

25%

53%

22%

My opinion of Ed Miliband has become more positive recently

24%

54%

22%

  • One in five current Labour voters (21%) cannot imagine Ed Miliband as Prime Minister.
  • 58% of current Labour voters say their opinion of Ed Miliband has become more positive recently, but only 5% of Conservative voters and 10% of UKIP voters say so. This may suggest that although Miliband has been successful at motivating his own supporters and voters, others are less convinced. For example, a greater number of current Liberal Democrat voters say their opinion of him has recently got more negative (28%) than say it has got more positive (18%).

Television Debates

Agree

Disagree

Don’t know

If there are TV debates at the next election, I expect David Cameron would come across better than Ed Miliband

36%

32%

32%

If there are TV debates at the next election, I expect Ed Miliband would come across better than David Cameron

23%

42%

35%

  • Although Conservative and Labour voters tend to back the leader of the party they support (74% and 55% respectively), Liberal Democrat voters tend to say they expect Cameron (44%) to perform better than Ed Miliband (13%). The same is true for UKIP voters (Cameron: 39%, Miliband: 16%).

Political Background

Agree

Disagree

Don’t know

The fact that Ed Miliband’s father was a Marxist makes it harder for him to be a good Prime Minister for the whole country

16%

55%

29%

The fact that David Cameron went to Eton makes it harder for him to be a good prime minister for the whole country.

Dec 09

(TELEPHONE)

Apr 2011

July 2012

Oct 2012

Nov 2013

Agree

20%

30%

34%

38%

34%

Disagree

70%

52%

44%

42%

45%

Don’t know

9%

18%

22%

19%

21%

  • More voters of all parties disagree than agree that the fact Ed Miliband’s father was a Marxist makes it harder for him to be a good Prime Minister for the whole country.
  • However, a majority of Labour voters (51%) think that the fact that David Cameron went to Eton makes it harder for him to be a good prime minister for the whole country. UKIP voters are evenly split (41% agree, 41% disagree).

Methodology: ComRes interviewed 2,023 GB adults online 13- 15 November 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk.

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November 16, 2013 - Posted by | Polls

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