Richard Willis's Blog

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New ICM Poll – Conservatives Cut Labour’s Lead to 5%

There is a new ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow showing the Conservatives cutting the 8% lead Labour enjoyed last month back to just 5% this month:

         Conservative              32% (up 2%)

                                                    Labour                        37% (down 1%)

                                                    Lib Dem                      12% (down 1%)

                                                    UKIP                               9% (down 1%)

With the recovery gathering pace, David Cameron and George Osborne retain their solid lead over Ed Miliband and the Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls, as the people most trusted to manage the economy properly, with 39% backing the Conservative team to handle the economy, compared with just 23% who side with Labour’s two Eds.

Readers are reminded that ICM is considered the “gold standard” amongst pollsters and I have therefore always given a lot more weight to their findings alongside YouGov.

ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,001 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 6-8 December 2013. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.

ICM Poll - Dec 13


December 9, 2013 - Posted by | Polls | ,


  1. Yes we all know about your love in with ICM. Maybe you should give just a little credence to the Populus poll on the same day giving Labour an 8% lead. and on 41%.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | December 10, 2013 | Reply

    • “Phil” – ICM and YouGov are widely recognised as the most credible pollsters and ICM as the “gold standard”. Those are not my words but the words of Mike Smithson of

      Comment by Richard Willis | December 10, 2013 | Reply

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