Richard Willis's Blog

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New YouGov Poll – Labour’s Lead Has Almost Gone!

There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow’s Sun newspaper showing Labour’s lead down to just 2%:

                   Conservative                36% (up 2%)

                   Labour                          38% (down 1%)

                                                     Lib Dem                          8% (down 2%)

                                                     UKIP                             11% (no change)

This is the lowest YouGov lead for Labour since the September party conferences. Poll leads go up and down but the general trend for Labour at present is down.

The poll above is compared with the YouGov poll which I reported on 8 December.


December 16, 2013 - Posted by | Polls | ,


  1. I see you clutching at straws again. Populos shows a 7% Labour lead, two other Sunday polls also give a 7% Labour lead. A 2% Labour lead still gives Labour a 28 seat overall majority. The electoral system heavily favours Labour. Just to be the largest party after the election the Tories have to be 4% in front of Labour. I think you live in cloud cuckoo land.

    Comment by sean connor | December 17, 2013 | Reply

    • Sean – these are not straws, these are real and credible polls showing Labour’s lead gradually eroding. Of course polls go up and down but the general trend, 18 months from a General Election, is for a closing of the gap! The electoral system IS biased, thanks to Labour and the Lib Dems combining to defeat reforms but previous GEs have shown that the Conservatives can still win.

      I look forward to your comments when the Conservatives take the lead 🙂

      Comment by Richard Willis | December 17, 2013 | Reply

    • A long way to go yet in circumstances that (apart from anything untoward blowing it off course),are only going to get better for the government. Economy and also wages now starting to pick up.

      Comment by baza | December 17, 2013 | Reply

  2. “Previous GE’s have shown that the Conservatives can still win” – The last time the Conservatives had a working majority was 21 years ago at the 1992 election. You are only in some semblance of power now due to the spineless Liberals (who you are more than happy to disparage) keeping you there.

    Comment by Phil the Greek | December 17, 2013 | Reply

  3. Labour poll rating remains at the level of between 36-40%. The Tory poll position is between 29-36%. The Labour vote includes those radical Labour supporters who fell for Clegg’s lying promises. The indications are that Labour’s vote will remain around 37-39″. Just to remain the largest party then, given Labour’s polling level, the Tories would have to poll around 41-42″. Given that Cameron could only poll 36.9% in 2010 against a very unpopular Labour Party leader, it will be almost impossible for the Tories to get over 41% in 2015. Plus, no defeat will be more merited.

    Comment by sean connor | December 17, 2013 | Reply

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