On 22 May the people of Reading went to the ballot boxes to vote for their local and European representatives. The election results for Reading Borough Council were:
Abbey Ward (Labour Hold)
BLACK, Richard (Green) – 315 (12.9%)
JAMES, Stephen (UKIP) – 236 (9.7%)
MOORE, James (Lib Dem) – 218 (8.9%)
TAYLOR, Laurence (Conservative) – 475 (19.5%)
TICKNER, Bet (Labour) – 1195 (49%) – ELECTED
Battle Ward (Labour Hold)
GOODALL, Glenn (Lib Dem) – 167 (7.6%)
HACKER, Sarah (Labour) – 1255 (57%) – ELECTED
ISHTIAQ, Imran (Conservative) – 442 (20.1%)
LOCKEY, Alan (Green) – 293 (13.3%)
PASCUAL, Jean-Marie (Roman Party-Ave!) – 43 (2%)
Caversham Ward (Labour Gain from Conservative)
BURDEN, Chris (Lib Dem) – 212 (7.3%)
CHRISP, Rachael (Labour) – 1081 (37%) – ELECTED
DIAMOND, Michael (UKIP) – 348 (11.9%)
HICKS, Jenny (Green) – 362 (12.4%)
POLAND, Geoff (Conservative) – 894 (30.6%)
VOUSDEN, Silvia (TUSC) – 23 (0.8%)
Church Ward (Labour Gain from Conservative)
CARNELL, Paul (Conservative) – 577 (26%)
JOHNSON, Vivienne (Green) – 238 (10.7%)
MACNEILL, Margaret (Lib Dem) – 108 (4.9%)
PEARCE, Ashley (Labour) – 919 (41.4%) – ELECTED
ZEBEDEE, Ann (UKIP) – 380 (17.1%)
Katesgrove Ward (Labour Gain from Lib Dem)
DEARING, John (UKIP) – 248 (12.1%)
JAMES, Sophie (Labour) – 992 (48.6%) – ELECTED
KEANE, Louise (Green) – 278 (13.6%)
KINSLEY, Peter (Lib Dem) – 191 (9.4%)
WARMAN, Emma (Conservative) – 334 (16.4%)
Kentwood Ward (Labour Gain from Conservative)
DENNIS, Glenn (Labour) – 989 (35.3%) – ELECTED
SHAFFREY, Ruth (Green) – 178 (6.4%)
STEELE, Tom (Conservative) – 897 (32%)
THOMAS, Howard (UKIP) – 601 (21.5%)
WALLS, Jon (Lib Dem) – 135 (4.8%)
Minster Ward (Labour Hold)
BLACK, Katie (Conservative) – 664 (27%)
DILLON, Patrick (UKIP) – 351 (14.3%)
FANTI, Jon (Lib Dem) – 128 (5.2%)
LIVINGSTON, Marion (Labour) – 1090 (44.3%) – ELECTED
MURPHY, Hazel (Green) – 226 (9.2%)
Norcot Ward (Labour Hold)
ABSOLOM, Debs (Labour) – 1369 (57%) – ELECTED
HUGHES, Georgina (Lib Dem) – 169 (7%)
PATTERSON, David (Green) – 289 (12%)
VOSE, Clare (Conservative) – 573 (23.9%)
Park Ward (Green Hold)
ARMSTRONG, Anne (UKIP) – 119 (3.8%)
BASHARAT, Mohammad (Conservative) – 320 (10.2%)
KAUR, Anrish (Labour) – 936 (29.9%)
RYE, Rebecca (Lib Dem) – 84 (2.7%)
WHITE, Rob (Green) – 1669 (53.4%) – ELECTED
Park Ward By-Election (Green Hold)
AKHTAR, Shanaz (Conservative) – 391 (12.7%)
JAKEMAN, Francis (Lib Dem) – 93 (3%)
LAWRENCE, Matthew (Labour) – 1015 (33.1%)
WILLIAMS, Josh (Green) – 1569 (51.1%) – ELECTED
Peppard Ward (Conservative Gain from Independent)
DAY, Kate (Green) – 186 (5.8%)
KNIGHT, John (UKIP) – 460 (14.3%)
PLATTS, Natalie (Labour) – 509 (15.8%)
RALPH, Mark (Independent) – 886 (27.5%)
ROBINSON, Simon (Conservative) – 1027 (31.9%) – ELECTED
WOODS, Jenny (Lib Dem) – 152 (4.7%)
Redlands Ward (Labour Gain from Lib Dem)
ABSOLOM, David (Labour) – 1047 (45%) – ELECTED
ALLAN, Robert (UKIP) – 173 (7.4%)
BAYES, Kirsten (Lib Dem) – 341 (14.7%)
HOPPER, Helen (Conservative) – 430 (18.5%)
MURTAGH, Kizzi (Green) – 337 (8%)
Southcote Ward (Labour Hold)
ADAMS, Maddy (Lib Dem) – 110 (4.9%)
CRESSWELL, Doug (Green) – 213 (9.5%)
ENNIS, John (Labour) – 1286 (57.5%) – ELECTED
WIGGINS, Ellis (Conservative) – 626 (28%)
Thames Ward (Conservative Hold)
DICKSON, John (Independent) – 332 (10.2%)
MCNAMARA, Sarah (Green) – 385 (11.8%)
PENMAN, Guy (Lib Dem) – 293 (9%)
STAINTHORP, Richard (Labour) – 766 (23.5%)
STEVENS, David (Conservative) – 1486 (45.6%) – ELECTED
Tilehurst Ward (Lib Dem Hold)
BANARAS, Haji (Labour) – 429 (15.8%)
DUVEEN, Ricky (Lib Dem) – 1013 (37.2%) – ELECTED
KENNET, Miriam (Green) – 107 (3.9%)
MACPHEE, William (UKIP) – 530 (19.5%)
VICKERS, Robert (Conservative) – 643 (23.6%)
Whitley Ward (Labour Hold)
BLATTLER, Janel (Lib Dem) – 93 (4.3%)
BROWN, Nick (Conservative) – 488 (22.4%)
EDEN, Rachel (Labour) – 1162 (53.3%) – ELECTED
JOHNSON, Keith (Green) – 167 (7.7%)
WAKE, Jamie (Independent) – 269 (12.4%)
The Council is now comprised of 31 Labour Councillors, 10 Conservatives, 3 Greens and 2 Lib Dems.
Tomorrow many local people in Reading East will have the chance to vote for who represents their interests at both a local and a European level. These are important elections and I encourage everyone to vote.
Locally, your Conservative team in Reading is focused on the issues that matter to people most, working diligently to improve the lives of hardworking local people whilst continually taking the fight to the Labour-run Reading Borough Council (RBC).
Whether it is voting against Labour’s Council Tax increase of 1.9%, striving to deliver first class educational institutions, protecting our green spaces or campaigning to protect vital community services such as the Arthur Clark Home and Albert Road Day Centre from closure –your Conservative team has continually shown that it listens to and acts upon the views of local residents.
Just as with Council Tax increases, we Conservatives will fight adding these extra costs on local people and I encourage people to get out tomorrow and pledge their support to their local Conservative candidate.
At a European level, our Conservative representatives are once again demonstrating their determination to listen to the views of the British people and to deliver the real change that the people desire. Conservative MEPs are continually fighting Britain’s corner in Europe, standing up for our interests and working to bring back power from Brussels.
We are the only party that will guarantee you an in-out referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU: Labour and the Lib Dems refuse to give you a referendum and UKIP cannot deliver one. The Conservatives plan to negotiate a better deal for Britain and then, regardless of the results, give you an in/out referendum by the end of 2017.
Remember, a vote for the Conservatives in Europe is a vote for change.
There is a new Populus online poll out today which shows the Conservatives taking a 1% lead over Labour:
Conservative 35% (up 3%)
Labour 34% (down 2%)
Lib Dem 8% (down 2%)
UKIP 14% (up 1%)
This is the first time that Populus have had the Conservatives ahead this year and the first online poll to have them ahead since March 2012!
Interestingly the second Ashcroft poll out this afternoon has figures of Lab 35%, Cons 29%, UKIP 14%, LD 9%, a complete reversal of last week’s 2% Conservative lead. With YouGov continuing to show small Labour lead’s it suggests that the real picture is roughly neck and neck with variations due to normal sampling and margins of error.
Populus interviewed a random sample of 2,026 adults online between 16h-18th May 2014. Interviews were conducted across Great Britain and the results have been weighted to be representative of all British adults. Populus is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
I am grateful to the reader who has sent me the link to the story about the ructions in the Labour Party on Middlesbrough Council. Five sitting Labour Councillors have resigned from the party to form a new Independent grouping. The Council is still majority Labour controlled but it seems to have numerous Independent groups of a variety of names. The five will form the “Association of Independent Middlesbrough Councillors” (AIM Group). They will sit alongside 3 Councillors of the “Middlesebrough Independent Councillors Association”, 8 Councillors who are “Independent”, 2 from the Marton Independent Group, and there is also Ray Mallon the Independent directly elected Mayor of Middlesbrough.
The five defectors are Councillors Len Junier (who represents North Ormesby and Brambles Farm ward), Pervaz Khan (Middlehaven), Sajaad Khan (Gresham), Derek Loughborough (North Ormesby and Brambles Farm) and John McPartland (Middlehaven).
– Cllr Junier said in his resignation letter: “I can no longer sit back and watch our fractured group implode through lack of direction, lack of leadership and more importantly lack of Labour values”;
– Cllr Pervaz Khan said he felt “ashamed” for belonging to Middlesbrough Labour Group which “is treating some of my Asian family and friends in a manner which they perceive to be racist and, incidentally, so do I”;
– Cllr Sajaad Khan also criticised the current Labour leadership saying it was “different under Sir Stuart Bell, who would not have stood for all this”;
– Cllr McPartland said he was “not prepared to tolerate any longer” a Middlesbrough Labour Group leadership which he considers to be “morally bankrupt”;
– Cllr Loughborough said though he won his appeal he was unhappy with questions raised at his appeal panel about his involvement with union issues.
This is somewhat similar to the situation in the Harrow Labour Party which saw NINE of their Councillors resign the Labour Whip and ultimately led to Labour’s loss of control of the Council.
There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow’s Sun newspaper showing the Conservatives and Labour level pegging:
Conservative 34% (no change)
Labour 34% (down 1%)
Lib Dem 8% (no change)
UKIP 15% (up 2%).
Labour has now been behind or level pegging in THREE polls from different companies in the last 48 hours. I hear that a sense of panic is now gripping the Parliamentary Labour Party as the realisation begins to dawn that the 2015 General Election is no longer the near certainty that many of them had thought it was! It will be fascinating to see what impact the current polling position has on the local elections here in Reading.
The poll above is compared with the YouGov poll I reported on 8 May.
There is a new ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow which has the Conservatives 2% ahead of Labour following a plunge in Labour support:
Conservative 33% (up 1%)
Labour 31% (down 6%)
Lib Dem 13% (up 1%)
UKIP 15% (up 4%)
It seems that there has been a significant shift from Labour to UKIP in this poll. ICM is not a pollster who usually shows big month on month changes (unlike say MORI).
ICM also has a European Election poll which has Conservatives in the lead and Labour in third place. It has Conservatives on 27% (+2%), UKIP 26% (+6%), Labour 24% (-12%), LD 7% (+1%), Green 10% (+4%).
These findings will be a huge boost to the Conservatives and UKIP just 9 days before the local and Euro elections. It is likely to cause a tremor throughout the Labour party and could lead to internal discontent becoming more vocal.
ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,000 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 9-11 May 2014. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.
Conservative 34% (up 1%)
Labour 35% (down 1%)
Lib Dem 8% (down 2%)
UKIP 13% (down 1%).
Labour leads now seem to have fallen to the 1-3% range with Labour firmly in the mid-30’s. As Mike Smithson from Political Betting has noted “Labour’s current poll position is the worst for the party since early 2012”. Whatever the results in the Euro elections, Labour is not well placed to win the 2015 General Election!
The poll above is compared with the YouGov poll I reported on 1 May.
Reading Conservatives have launched their manifesto for the Reading Borough local elections which will be held on Thursday 22 May.
The Manifesto includes pledges to freeze or cut Council Tax, switch to four-yearly elections, work for a third Thames bridge, plant more trees, increase recycling levels, protect our heritage and our parks, expand good local schools, provide better services to our elderly residents, and protect grants to our voluntary and community sector.
Conservative Leader Cllr Jeanette Skeats said, “In the tough economic times Reading Conservatives cut out waste in order to be able to help residents by freezing the Council Tax. Now that the economy is improving we must ensure that we continue to get best value for money so that any savings are passed on in frozen or reduced Council Tax. The Conservative-led government has invested massive sums into Reading’s transport infrastructure and more school places, and we would have taken the Council Tax Freeze Grant which was on offer. Labour has chosen to reject this cash and instead take more money from the pockets of local people which continuing to subsidise their Trade Union friends.”
She continued, “Reading receives the second highest government grant in Berkshire, second only to Slough, and per resident it is more than three times that received by neighbouring Wokingham. However, under Labour too much is still wasted. We will fight for every penny of investment into Reading and to deliver high quality Council services for those who need them.”
The Manifesto also details the 16 Conservative candidates across Reading, which include 1 sitting Councillor seeking re-election, 2 former Reading Councillors, 3 Asian candidates (more than any other party), 5 women, and 8 who have stood before.
Download it here.
There is a new Populus online poll out today which shows Labour’s lead over the Conservatives at just 1%:
Conservative 34% (up 2%)
Labour 35% (no change)
Lib Dem 9% (down 1%)
UKIP 13% (no change)
The Labour party has now sunk to a consistent rating of the mid-30’s, its worst polling level since Ed Miliband became Labour leader. It is also notable how Labour’s lead has not been above 6% for some weeks now. The game is really now on for next year’s General Election!
Populus interviewed a random sample of 2,060 adults online between 30th-1st May 2014. Interviews were conducted across Great Britain and the results have been weighted to be representative of all British adults. Populus is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow’s Sun newspaper showing Labour’s lead at 3%:
Conservative 33% (down 3%)
Labour 36% (down 1%)
Lib Dem 10% (up 1%)
UKIP 14% (up 3%).
Labour is now getting leads of a maximum of 6% with most polls in the 2-4% range. It is also noticeable that Labour’s vote share is now usually 35-37%. Once the Euro elections have passed and the focus shifts away from UKIP I expect the Conservatives to move ahead of Labour.
The poll above is compared with the YouGov poll I reported on 23 March.