Richard Willis's Blog

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New ICM Poll – Conservatives Take a 2% Lead as Labour Support Collapses!

There is a new ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow which has the Conservatives 2% ahead of Labour following a plunge in Labour support:

         Conservative              33% (up 1%)

                                                    Labour                        31% (down 6%)

                                                    Lib Dem                      13% (up 1%)

                                                    UKIP                            15% (up 4%)

It seems that there has been a significant shift from Labour to UKIP in this poll. ICM is not a pollster who usually shows big month on month changes (unlike say MORI).

ICM also has a European Election poll which has Conservatives in the lead and Labour in third place. It has Conservatives on 27% (+2%), UKIP 26% (+6%), Labour 24% (-12%), LD 7% (+1%), Green 10% (+4%).

These findings will be a huge boost to the Conservatives and UKIP just 9 days before the local and Euro elections. It is likely to cause a tremor throughout the Labour party and could lead to internal discontent becoming more vocal.

ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,000 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 9-11 May 2014. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.

ICM Poll - May 14

 

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May 12, 2014 - Posted by | Polls

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