Richard Willis's Blog

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New YouGov Poll – Conservatives Just 1% Behind Labour

There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Sunday Times newspaper showing the Conservatives just 1% behind Labour:

                   Conservative                35% (no change)

                   Labour                          36% (down 2%)

                                                     Lib Dem                          8% (no change)

                                                     UKIP                             13% (up 2%).

Labour is failing to regain the leads it enjoyed about a year ago when it was regularly 5-8% ahead of the Conservatives. UKIP’s rating is up in this poll but it has generally been sliding since the Euro election results.

The poll above is compared with the YouGov poll published on 24 July.


July 27, 2014 Posted by | Polls | , | 1 Comment

New Populus Poll – Labour’s Lead Cut to 2%

There is a new Populus online poll out today which shows Labour’s lead over the Conservatives cut to just 2%:

      Conservative              35% (up 3%)

      Labour                         37% (no change)

                                                           Lib Dem                         9% (no change)

                                                           UKIP                               9% (down 4%)

The UKIP rating has been sliding since the Euro elections and this poll suggests that some of the UKIP vote is returning to the Conservatives!

Populus interviewed a random sample of 2,070 adults online between 23rd-24th July 2014. Interviews were conducted across Great Britain and the results have been weighted to be representative of all British adults. Populus is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

July 25, 2014 Posted by | Polls | Leave a comment

New ICM Poll – Conservatives Move 1% Ahead as UKIP Plunges

ICM logo2There is a new ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow which the Conservatives taking a 1% lead over Labour following last month’s 1% Labour lead:

         Conservative              34% (up 3%)

         Labour                        33% (up 1%)

                                                        Lib Dem                      12% (up 2%)

                                                        UKIP                              9% (down 7%)

This is a huge drop in UKIP support taking them down into single figures. However, the net effect of the changes this month is a small Conservative lead which will cheer David Cameron as he embarks on his reshuffle.

The over-65s are much more likely to support the Conservatives than other age groups, with 52% backing the party compared with less than 30% across most of the rest of the age groups. There is also a strong regional variation in Conservative support with 21% in Scotland (up on previous elections), 18% in Wales and 21% in the north of England. In the crucial marginal-rich area of the Midlands the Conservatives are on a healthy 46%.

ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1,000 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 11-13 July 2014. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.

ICM Poll - Jul 14


July 14, 2014 Posted by | Polls | Leave a comment

HMS Queen Elizabeth is Named

HMS Queen ElizabethThe Royal Navy’s new aircraft carrier has been officially named by Her Majesty the Queen at a ceremony in Scotland today.

Hundreds of workers who have helped to build the HMS Queen Elizabeth, along with the ship’s company, joined the Prime Minister, Defence Secretary, military Chiefs and dignitaries to witness Her Majesty christen her namesake with a bottle of whisky. The ceremony, held at Rosyth dockyard near Edinburgh, marks the completion of the flagship which at 72,000 tonnes is the largest ship ever built for the Royal Navy:

  • With a height of 56 meters she is taller than Niagara falls;
  • At 280 meters long she has a flight deck the size of 60 tennis courts;
  • Four jumbo jets could fit alongside each other on the 70 meter wide deck;
  • Her range is 10,000 nautical miles and she carries enough fuel to transport a family car to the moon and back twelve times;
  • She is fitted with a long range 3D radar that is capable of tracking more than 1,000 targets at once or can spot a tennis ball travelling at 2,000 miles per hour.

Operating with Lightning II fifth generation stealth Joint Strike Fighter jets, the QE Class will be versatile enough to be used in a full range of military tasks from warfighting to providing humanitarian aid and disaster relief. Today’s naming ceremony comes just a week before Lightning II is due to take to the skies in the UK for the first time, marking another step towards the return of carrier strike operations.

The construction of HMS Queen Elizabeth has sustained around 8,000 jobs at more than 100 companies across the UK. Blocks of the ship were manufactured at six yards in Devon, Rosyth, Portsmouth and on the Clyde and Tyne before being assembled in Rosyth.

HMS Queen Elizabeth is the first warship to be christened by Her Majesty in 15 years. To honour the ship’s birthplace in Scotland, a bottle of Islay whisky from the first distillery the Queen visited was smashed against the bow.

Defence Secretary Philip Hammond said, “HMS Queen Elizabeth is the largest ship that the Royal Navy has ever had and is a true demonstration of the UK at its best, with over 10,000 people across the country working together to deliver her. This occasion marks a major milestone in regenerating the UK’s aircraft carrier capability, enhancing our ability to project power anywhere in the world.”

Admiral Sir George Zambellas, First Sea Lord, said, “The naming of HMS Queen Elizabeth heralds a new dawn, not only for the Royal Navy but for the delivery of our Nation’s security. Her journey ahead will be global, strategic and one of inter-Service and international partnership. Powerful, versatile and credible, this ship will be at the heart of the UK’s defence capability for the next 50 years, but she already stands testament to the best of British shipbuilding, engineering and technology. We are especially proud to welcome Her Majesty The Queen to Rosyth, and are honoured that she has graciously accepted the role of sponsor for our Nation’s future flagship.”

Following today’s naming ceremony the dock will be flooded to enable HMS Queen Elizabeth to float for the first time. Work to prepare the ship for her sea trials in 2017 and flight trials with Lightning II aircraft in 2018 will continue.

Work is already underway on the HMS Queen Elizabeth’s sister ship HMS Prince of Wales which will start to be assembled in Rosyth dockyard later this year. The Defence review next year will decide whether Prince of Wales is to enter service or be mothballed or even sold. In my view the Government would be simply mad not to bring both carriers into service and provide the necessary funding to the Defence budget to make this affordable.

Now that the economy is growing robustly it is time to begin to increase the Defence budget back up to a level closer to 2.5% of GDP with an aim of 3% of GDP. That would allow the Navy a few more escorts which will be necessary to escort the carriers and fulfil all the other RN commitments around the world.

HMS Queen Elizabeth Graphic

July 4, 2014 Posted by | Defence | Leave a comment